Grafic of models at 1800 UTC:Starting to shift to the right

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cycloneye
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Grafic of models at 1800 UTC:Starting to shift to the right

#1 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:41 pm

http://www.wright-weather.com/data/wxp/ ... udette.gif

All GOMERS from Brownsville to the panhandle must pay close attention to the track of Claudette as it's position more north has made the models shift a little to the right.Louisiana comes into play at least with one model LBAR
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:56 pm

http://www.wright-weather.com/data/wxp/ ... udette.gif

Here is a more closer view of those tracks in the GOM that puts Louisiana in the track of one model LBAR.This changing of the model tracks is constant so keep watching them every 6 hours.
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ColdFront77

#3 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 1:56 pm

It doesn't look like the initialization of the 1800Z, 2:00 PM ET/1:00 PM CT forecast models is correct.
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#4 Postby crazy4disney » Thu Jul 10, 2003 2:00 pm

Well I sure don't like where the GFDL currently thinks Claudette will go!! I'm sure this has been asked a gazillion times, so I apologize, but which of the models tends to be more accurate on average?
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#5 Postby Air Force Met » Thu Jul 10, 2003 2:06 pm

18 z runs aren't out yet. I think the initialization for all the models is going to be too far to the south. Claudette is getting embedded in the 350-400MB mean steering flow and moving nnw-n right now (atleast her CDO is...and I assume her LLC is as well).
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ColdFront77

#6 Postby ColdFront77 » Thu Jul 10, 2003 2:19 pm

Why do the two links Luis posted above say "20030710, 1800Z," then?
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