QS of C Atl Wave

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Derek Ortt

QS of C Atl Wave

#1 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 05, 2003 7:23 pm

http://manati.wwb.noaa.gov/dataimages21 ... MBds26.png

It is open, though it is a bit better defined than I expected. That being said, I still do not forsee any development until at the earliest, Monday afternoon and even these chances are less than 10% at the present time. The key will be whether or not the convection persists for the next 24 hours. If so, then prehaps we will have something worth monitoring
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Derek Ortt

#2 Postby Derek Ortt » Sat Jul 05, 2003 7:31 pm

I wish I had taken a look at the quikscat before writing the evening nwhhc AOTO ( http://www.nwhhc.com/gpage1.html ). I probably would have worded it SLIGHTLY differently; however, not all that much as it is unlikely for any significant development to occur over the next 24-36 hours due to the system having minimal surface organization at this time
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Ola
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#3 Postby Ola » Sat Jul 05, 2003 7:45 pm

Hmm, you cant see the actual position of the convection on that quikscat image. You can see the eastern edge, but from looking at it, it does'nt suggest there is a llc to the left of it, but it would have been nice to have a clear picture of it. Thanks Derek.
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As always..

#4 Postby wxman57 » Sat Jul 05, 2003 11:08 pm

As always (it seems), the QuickScat "gap" is right over the point of interest. Tropical disturbances must seek out these data gaps so we can't keep a closer eye on them.

I'm watching it, too. Looks like the wave amplified today and it's separating from the ITCZ. Could be interesting.
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#5 Postby Colin » Sun Jul 06, 2003 10:43 am

Will be interesting to watch... although I doubt it will develop into anything at the present time.
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