Looks like a strong troipcal storm is on the way to central or east central LA...I still don't think it will be more than that but things will get interesting tomorrow...I think the western component of motion has more or less ended though...
http://www.tropicalupdate.com/2003-TC03.htm
MW
2nd Bill Forecast...Another Rightward Adjustment
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cycloneye
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I agree on all your discussiom Mike as it will be a close call if it is going to be a hurricane as conditions are favorable now.
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Stormsfury
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T Number Update...for Those Interested...
Thanks for the feedback on the forecast by the way...
Can't say from where of course...but here are the T-numbers from the various agencies as of 0Z this evening...they are legit...
KGWC (AFWA): 2.0
SAB: 2.5
TAFB: 2.5
Don't think I'll get these often but I will pass them along when I can...
MW
Can't say from where of course...but here are the T-numbers from the various agencies as of 0Z this evening...they are legit...
KGWC (AFWA): 2.0
SAB: 2.5
TAFB: 2.5
Don't think I'll get these often but I will pass them along when I can...
MW
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Kinda Scary...
I just looked at the latest official forecast track for Bill and overlayed my track from 9:30PM to see how close we are...and trust me...I'm not trying to duplicate their track...remember mine comes out an hour and a half before the TPC product...
Aside from being a little slower than theirs at 48 and 72...the track is virtually identical...I'm just a tad to the east though...and it may not live that long to find out...
Mine is the green line....
http://www.tropicalupdate.com/forecast_comparison.htm
MW[/img]
Aside from being a little slower than theirs at 48 and 72...the track is virtually identical...I'm just a tad to the east though...and it may not live that long to find out...
Mine is the green line....
http://www.tropicalupdate.com/forecast_comparison.htm
MW[/img]
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cycloneye
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Wow Mike that is remarkable almost the same tracks.
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Stormsfury
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What has me looking very closely at radar/RUC and the latest information is startling ...
Anyway, here goes ...
The greatest pressure falls according to RUC soundings are occurring just offshore of the TX/LA coastlines ... 2nd, the 11 pm advisory is a full 0.2º further west, and the now the radar loop -- which looks like the center is appearing and moving west of due north ---
I'm still holding onto the Central Louisiana coastline call.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml
Anyway, here goes ...
The greatest pressure falls according to RUC soundings are occurring just offshore of the TX/LA coastlines ... 2nd, the 11 pm advisory is a full 0.2º further west, and the now the radar loop -- which looks like the center is appearing and moving west of due north ---
I'm still holding onto the Central Louisiana coastline call.
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... klix.shtml
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