18z NAM rolling in and shifts East towards S.FL

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

18z NAM rolling in and shifts East towards S.FL

#1 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:29 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
0 likes   
Top
caneman

#2 Postby caneman » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:31 pm

Umm, that can just as easily be read as a coast rider up the West coast.
0 likes   
Top
Lifesgud2
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 134
Joined: Sun Aug 07, 2005 9:05 pm
Location: South Florida Baby

#3 Postby Lifesgud2 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:32 pm

Hmmm...Not good...Does this model show what strength at landfall? Just curious.
0 likes   
Top
Deenac813
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 788
Joined: Sat Sep 06, 2003 5:16 pm
Location: Hollywood, Florida

#4 Postby Deenac813 » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:33 pm

either way it is too close to me.. I really thought I did not have anything to worry about & now I am thinking I may have.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Vortex
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 4644
Age: 53
Joined: Fri Aug 01, 2003 9:34 pm
Location: Hilton Head, SC

#5 Postby Vortex » Sun Aug 27, 2006 3:34 pm

About to make Landfall in SE Florida at H-48

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_048l.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Steve
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 9623
Joined: Sat Apr 05, 2003 11:41 pm
Location: Gulf of Gavin Newsom

#6 Postby Steve » Sun Aug 27, 2006 5:30 pm

NAM's been hinting over a few runs that there will be split energy. I'm not sure what to make of it as no other models have returned that solution. As everyone knows, NAM ain't the greatest when it comes to the tropics, but it will occasionally do well with precipitation. It wants to take Ernesto to the S FL Coast and to the Yucatan where it spawns another low in the BOC. I only viewed the link above, so I didn't check out the split at different heights.

Steve
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: duilaslol and 41 guests