First forecast on Ernie
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deltadog03
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First forecast on Ernie
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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MississippiHurricane
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hurricanedude
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Great effort, but i feel that Ernie will cut more easterly than your model. The latest GFS, in my opinion, is almost silly trying to put this storm across eastern Cuba and through the Florida Keys, then Southern Florida.
I think we are looking at more of the NHC track still, along the Big Bend area and possibly as far west as the TX/LA border. The basis in my reasoning, aside from the latest recon data, is that I do not see any major steering components to push Ernie that far west or, as the GFL suggests, that far East either.
Again, AWESOME model/prediction.
I think we are looking at more of the NHC track still, along the Big Bend area and possibly as far west as the TX/LA border. The basis in my reasoning, aside from the latest recon data, is that I do not see any major steering components to push Ernie that far west or, as the GFL suggests, that far East either.
Again, AWESOME model/prediction.
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LAwxrgal
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Delta I don't like that forecast very much...puts the center right over my house as it comes inland...
That being said, it's a nice effort...
That being said, it's a nice effort...
Last edited by LAwxrgal on Sun Aug 27, 2006 12:14 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Andrew 92/Isidore & Lili 02/Bill 03/Katrina & Rita 05/Gustav & Ike 08/Isaac 12 (flooded my house)/Harvey 17/Barry 19/Cristobal 20/Claudette 21/Ida 21 (In the Eye)/Francine 24
Wake me up when November ends
Wake me up when November ends
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Stormcenter
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BayouVenteux
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Whoa. You're leaning with the outliers at the moment, but hey, if you nail this on the first call, I'll be sure to send you a congratulatory PM along with a couple of copies of the storm damage photos I'll be taking for my claims adjuster. 
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".
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Sean in New Orleans
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deltadog03
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