Predict 2006 landfalls, dates, and level of destruction

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Hurricaneman
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#141 Postby Hurricaneman » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:55 am

Hurricaneman wrote:Beryl- BOC with landfall in Mexico June 24th 50mph tropical storm

Chris- Central Atlantic fish July 20th 65mph tropical storm

Debby- First cape verde storm of season and goes out to sea July 29th 80mph hurricane

Ernesto- First major of the season, it tracks east of the antilles and out to sea August 10th 130mph hurricane

Florence- forms near the Bahamas from a cluster of thunderstorms that sits there for 3 days strenthens to a 60 mph tropical storm making landfall in West Palm Beach exits as a depression but is sheared badly for a few days and strengthens to a 100 mph hurricane and hits Corpus Christi as a 90 mph hurricane August 15th

Gordon- Forms near the Azores and becomes a 60 mph tropical storm and makes landfall in Morrocco August 16th

Helene- First big threat of the year it comes from a wave coming off of africa and becomes a storm on August 29th it becomes a very dangerous cat 5 175mph hurricane as it goes by St. Croix causing severe damage on Sept 5th then turns nw towards the Carolinas , but only grazes Cape Hatteras as a cat 4 140mph hurricane and goes NNE from there and makes landfall on Buzzards Bay as a cat 2 100 mph hurricane with some damage on sept 9th

Isaac- Another cape verde development, but norhing like Helene, as its being sheared until it goes into the carribean it strengthens from 1002mbs 50mph to 901mbs and 190mph in 24 hours heading for the Yucatan Channel Causing severe damage to western cuba heads NE toward Florida being sheared badly makes landfall on Sept 19th as a cat 1 90 mph hurricane in Sarasota

Joyce- Weak 45mph tropical storm Oct 3rd

Kirk- extratropical Storm forms near the Bahamas , but becoms sub-tropical on the day of the October 18th moves north and makes landfall in Wilmington NC as a 65mph tropical strom

Leslie- an odd track storm forms near Burmuda moves towards the northern windward islands turns north than turns west toward North Carolina and heads east by about 200 miles then heads southeast making landfall in Key West as a 45 mph Tropical Storm re emerges in the gulfheads toward the Yucatan then heads northeast making landfall in Naples as a 50 mph tropical storm October 28th People will get headaches tracking where this storm goes

Michael- Forms from and extratropical storm in the middle of the atlantic becomes tropical on October 28th becomes a 70mph Tropical Storm

Nadine- Forms near Panama and gets sheared to peices as it heads toward the Yucatan Channel, never makes landfall as it dies before Florida November 10th

Oscar- Storm forms near the cape verdes and heads north and becomes extratropical Nov 10th 75mph Hurricane

Patty- Forms in the BOC and hits Brownsville Texas as a 60mph tropical storm Nov 20th

Rafael- Similar to the December 23,1994 santa storm that made landfall in Buzzards Bay but this one misses to the east by 50 miles 90mph hurricane Dec 14th

this is an update to my January prediction, some of these predictions have had major changes


Looks like I have a major forecast bust here
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#142 Postby Hurricaneman » Wed Aug 23, 2006 10:25 pm

new prediction for the rest of the season

Ernesto- cat 2 100mph hurricane Yucatan Ausust 28th then cat 1 80mph North mexico August 30

Florence- 2nd Cape Verde Storm to form and moves just north of the islands as a cat 3 hurricane 125mph Sept 2nd moves northwest toward North Carolina but misses by 25 miles as a cat 4 150mph hurricane Sept 7th then moves north an makes landfall on Montauk Pt as a cat 3 120mph hurricane sept 8th

Gordon- 45mph fish Sept 4th

Helene- Cape Verde storm that is a fish, but misses bermuda by 250 miles to the east cat 5 160mph hurricane Sept 20th

Isaac- forms in the Carribean but become really powerful cat 5 190 mph hurricane moves north through the Yucatan Channel and gets sheared to bits and landfalls in Sarasota Fl on Oct 10th as a 50mph tropical storm

Joyce- 45 mph tropical storm North Georgia Oct 28th

Kirk- This storm will be a headache to track, It forms Oct 25th from a batch of thunderstorms in the middle of the atlantic , then it Moves west to about 100 miles south of Bermuda, starts to move out to sea, but the ridge bulds back in sending it southwest towards the US, but stalls about 250 miles east of North Carolina, then does a small loop, makes landfall in Bermuda as a 65mph tropical storm Nov 10th

Leslie- 45mph tropical storm fish Nov 2nd

Michael- Similar path and formation To Tropical Storm Santa, but misses by 50 miles to the east of Cape Cod 90mph hurricane Dec 20th
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