It seems to be trying to cross the isthmus. Is this too far south to become a Caribbean storm?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html
Panamanian Blob
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
Stormavoider
- Category 2
- Posts: 671
- Joined: Sat Jul 01, 2006 4:37 pm
- Location: Spring Hill Fl.
Panamanian Blob
0 likes
-
Stormavoider
- Category 2
- Posts: 671
- Joined: Sat Jul 01, 2006 4:37 pm
- Location: Spring Hill Fl.
-
Jim Cantore
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
gatorcane wrote:CrazyC83 wrote:More of an EPac worry than an Atlantic worry.
I say EPAC
Too bad, this is already making the cross over into the afterlife (Caribbean).
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
- Posts: 12542
- Age: 43
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
The chances of this becoming a tropical cyclone (EPAC or Atlantic) are rather limited.
What you are witnessing is a typical Panama low associated with the Central American transitional monsoon.
Let me explain it...
There are three points in Central American where there is a break in the mountains that allows the Easterlies to easily cross over into the EPAC. Those three points are the Isthmus of Tehuantepec, Lake Nicaragua, and the Panama Canal Zone.
The Easterlies spill across these breaks whereas the rest of Central America finds the mountains and the inversion hindering the cross-over.
When the wind crosses over, the speeds increase. Shear associated with the speed convergence forces cyclone turning (and sometimes terrains helps this turning, which is the case for the Panama Low), which helps kick off three quasi-stationary lows in the aforementioned places.
In short, don't expect anything out of this blob. It's just our Panama low.
What you are witnessing is a typical Panama low associated with the Central American transitional monsoon.
Let me explain it...
There are three points in Central American where there is a break in the mountains that allows the Easterlies to easily cross over into the EPAC. Those three points are the Isthmus of Tehuantepec, Lake Nicaragua, and the Panama Canal Zone.
The Easterlies spill across these breaks whereas the rest of Central America finds the mountains and the inversion hindering the cross-over.
When the wind crosses over, the speeds increase. Shear associated with the speed convergence forces cyclone turning (and sometimes terrains helps this turning, which is the case for the Panama Low), which helps kick off three quasi-stationary lows in the aforementioned places.
In short, don't expect anything out of this blob. It's just our Panama low.
0 likes
-
wxmann_91
- Category 5
- Posts: 8013
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2005 2:49 pm
- Location: Southern California
- Contact:
senorpepr wrote:The chances of this becoming a tropical cyclone (EPAC or Atlantic) are rather limited.
What you are witnessing is a typical Panama low associated with the Central American transitional monsoon.
Let me explain it...
There are three points in Central American where there is a break in the mountains that allows the Easterlies to easily cross over into the EPAC. Those three points are the Isthmus of Tehuantepec, Lake Nicaragua, and the Panama Canal Zone.
The Easterlies spill across these breaks whereas the rest of Central America finds the mountains and the inversion hindering the cross-over.
When the wind crosses over, the speeds increase. Shear associated with the speed convergence forces cyclone turning (and sometimes terrains helps this turning, which is the case for the Panama Low), which helps kick off three quasi-stationary lows in the aforementioned places.
In short, don't expect anything out of this blob. It's just our Panama low.
I just learned something new today. Thanks senor
0 likes
-
Jim Cantore
senorpepr wrote:The chances of this becoming a tropical cyclone (EPAC or Atlantic) are rather limited.
What you are witnessing is a typical Panama low associated with the Central American transitional monsoon.
Let me explain it...
There are three points in Central American where there is a break in the mountains that allows the Easterlies to easily cross over into the EPAC. Those three points are the Isthmus of Tehuantepec, Lake Nicaragua, and the Panama Canal Zone.
The Easterlies spill across these breaks whereas the rest of Central America finds the mountains and the inversion hindering the cross-over.
When the wind crosses over, the speeds increase. Shear associated with the speed convergence forces cyclone turning (and sometimes terrains helps this turning, which is the case for the Panama Low), which helps kick off three quasi-stationary lows in the aforementioned places.
In short, don't expect anything out of this blob. It's just our Panama low.
Good stuff, fact of the day
0 likes
-
Stormavoider
- Category 2
- Posts: 671
- Joined: Sat Jul 01, 2006 4:37 pm
- Location: Spring Hill Fl.
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif
In the next 3 days the NHC show a low pressure system in the Caribbean. Possible TD?
In the next 3 days the NHC show a low pressure system in the Caribbean. Possible TD?
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Stormavoider
- Category 2
- Posts: 671
- Joined: Sat Jul 01, 2006 4:37 pm
- Location: Spring Hill Fl.
What is with the general clockwise rotation in this corner of the Caribbean? Is high pressure trying to build in?
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html
0 likes