CMC, couple runs in a row, east coast Storm!

[storms in NC]

Thank goodness our waters are still a little cool up here in NC. Rain maker it would be and we don't need any more for a while.

[jabber]

Yeah... the east is quite but look at the west... now this I would talk about:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables

Lets see if we can get something to track...The eastern pacific is even quit. zzzz I think what ever develops will be pulled up between the two highs. With the trough at the upper levels forming a surface low as it moves northward. Also the cmc develops a anticyclones(over this low pressure at 200 millibars. Anyways more rain for the northeast.

Come on Beryl!!! We will about track.

[jabber]

BTW .. I would say outflow is good in all quads

Yeah... the east is quite but look at the west... now this I would talk about:

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_ho ... YLE=tables

Lets see if we can get something to track...The eastern pacific is even quit. zzzz I think what ever develops will be pulled up between the two highs. With the trough at the upper levels forming a surface low as it moves northward. Also the cmc develops a anticyclones(over this low pressure at 200 millibars. Anyways more rain for the northeast.

Come on Beryl!!! We will about track.

[storms in NC]

Hasn't moved much if any today.

[WxGuy1]

The odds of a NYC hit by a Cat-2 or greater are less than another Katrina type hurricane for the gulf coast. JB is just hyping it up to make money off the people in the NE.....MGC

SOMEBODY sees behind the smoke-screen... I can't imagine what we'll hear if a tropical cyclone actually comes close to the New England coast, much less makes landfall. I have absolutely no respect for AccuWx given their history of bashing the NHC for all it's worth. I wish would could hold them accountable for the times they hype or mention activity only to see the forecast bust or the system not develop. Everyone busts occassionally (NHC included, obviously), but AccuWx always takes out their blowhorns to tout their 'success' and say "we told you so". Forget a climatological risk of cyclones to the New England area, AW will be the first to scream "see, you should have listened to us... we've been saying this for months"... Of course, if we don't see a New England hurricane this year, you won't hear a peep about their previous forecast ever again. How about they post their verification stats online like the NHC does... [/rant]

P.S> -- is there a script to automatically shorten long links? Long links require users to scroll left-right in order to read messages. As a reminder to users, please use the URL tag to hide the link address if you're posting a long address:

Code: Select all

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[TS Zack]

That East Coast trough has been positioned there for the past several months, I do not see anything that makes me believe it will move any.

Still it could progress further into the Atlantic, which would mean a season more like 05'.

This does not mean all the storms will head out to sea because it all depends on when a storm forms & where???

[SouthFloridawx]

The Canadian Model's area of low pressure your talking about is cold core as provided by the Cyclone Phase and Analysis Page.



The link to this page can be found at:

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cyclonephase/

This page provides info on position/strength/type of future and current low pressure systems spawned by these models whether current or future.

I really like this site cause if catch something on the model runs I can find out what kind of low it is presenting.

[terstorm1012]

Good site, thanks for posting this link. I've noticed you've used it a bit and it is very, very helpful.

[Extremeweatherguy]

JB is not saying NYC will be hit by a Cat. 2 hurricane. In fact, in watching his videos, I have heard him many times say that the angle a storm would need to take to have a direct hit on the city is extremely hard to achieve.