GFS showing tropical development?

[SouthFloridawx]

Cold core low pressure moving along the front.

[Dean4Storms]

Look out..........

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/models/misc/ ... _sfc.shtml


A south Florida soaker!!!!

[SouthFloridawx]

yep these rainfall totals could really help the drought down here.

[CHRISTY]

[jusforsean]

when exactly is this huge major soaker suppose to arrive?????? And how much rain are we talking about??? My roof is 99% done but that 1% i dunno

[jusforsean]

oh also what about wind with this rain now that would be bad i would like to place my order for regualr falling rain if you would please:)

[CHRISTY]

oh also what about wind with this rain now that would be bad i would like to place my order for regualr falling rain if you would please:)

Here's the NWS disscussion from earlier this afternoon...

MONDAY AND TUESDAY...A SHORTWAVE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND THE BASE OF
THE BROAD CUTOFF LOW OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THAT WILL GRADUALLY MOVE
NORTHEAST WILL ACT TO PUSH A WEAKENING COLD FRONT INTO CENTRAL
FL. TUESDAY. MOISTURE WILL SURGE INTO SOUTH FLORIDA ON DEEP
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER INCREASING
DRAMATICALLY FROM AROUND ONE INCH MONDAY MORNING TO NEAR 2 INCHES
BY MON NIGHT AND REMAINING HIGH BEFORE THE COLD FRONT PASSES
THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS MOISTURE
ADVECTION COUPLED WITH THE APPROACH OF THE BOUNDARY COULD ALLOW
FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE AREA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE
REGION. THUS...INCREASED POPS FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON.

GFS MODEL KEEPS PLACING WEAK SURFACE LOWS IN DIFFERENT PLACES FROM
RUN TO RUN. CURRENT GFS RUN DEVELOPS A FEW WEAK LOWS ALONG THE
BOUNDARY IN THE GULF AND EAST OF DAYTONA MONDAY NIGHT AND MERGES
INTO ONE WELL EAST OF DAYTONA TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER LOW FORMS
ON THE FRONT TUESDAY EVENING AND CROSSES SOUTH FLORIDA AROUND
SUNRISE WEDNESDAY AND THEN WILL DRAG THE FRONT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING WITH CLEARING AND DRYING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. COULD SEE
SOME STRONG STORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY SEVERE MONDAY
EVENING WITH RATHER HIGH HELICITY, GOOD SHEAR AND REASONABLY
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE. ANOTHER GOOD ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THE FRONT EARLY WEDNESDAY.

[boca]

Is the mesoscale in Texas now as of 11:30pm Sun nite be moving East to cause our rain on Mon Tues timeframe.

[HurricaneHunter914]

:eek:

You know Christy that image also tells us how much dry air is in the Atalntic right now. Looks like the only moist area is the GOM.