Hurricane Hunter 914 wrote:Is that the newest forecast HURAKAN?
Yes.
SE Indian Ocean: Ex-TC Monica 5: Last advisory written
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 77
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 am CST [6:30 am WST] Wednesday 26 April 2006
A CYCLONE WARNING continues between the DALY RIVER MOUTH and KALUMBURU in
Western Australia.
At 7 am CST [5:30 am WST] a TROPICAL LOW [EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica] was
located near the coast about 100 kilometres southwest of DARWIN and 40
kilometres north of DALY RIVER MOUTH, and was moving south at 10 kilometres per
hour. The low will most likely continue on a southerly track near the coast. On
that track it would be unlikely to redevelop into a cyclone.
However, there is still some chance that the low could take a more southwestward
track into the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf, and then re-intensify into a tropical
cyclone, bringing GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour to the coast
between the DALY RIVER MOUTH and the NT/WA BORDER during today, extending west
along the coast to KALUMBURU tonight or early Thursday morning.
There is a possibility of DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 150 kilometres per
hour developing between KALUMBURU and the NT/WA BORDER during Thursday.
HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause significant stream rises and flooding of low
lying areas across the TOP END and extending to the north Kimberley on Thursday.
Details of EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 7 am CST [5:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 13.0 degrees South 130.2 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 60 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the south at 11 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 65 kilometres per hour
. Central pressure......... 998 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING continues between DALY RIVER MOUTH and KALUMBURU in
Western Australia.
The next advice will be issued at 11 am CST [9:30 am WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
MEDIA: the following message is only for broadcast in Western Australia
The WA State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: Current for coastal and island communities between Kalumburu and the
NT/WA Border, including Kalumburu, Wyndham, and Oombulgurri.
For further information contact the WA State Emergency Service.
SYSTEM OVER LAND, POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT SEEMS LOW.
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 77
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 8:00 am CST [6:30 am WST] Wednesday 26 April 2006
A CYCLONE WARNING continues between the DALY RIVER MOUTH and KALUMBURU in
Western Australia.
At 7 am CST [5:30 am WST] a TROPICAL LOW [EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica] was
located near the coast about 100 kilometres southwest of DARWIN and 40
kilometres north of DALY RIVER MOUTH, and was moving south at 10 kilometres per
hour. The low will most likely continue on a southerly track near the coast. On
that track it would be unlikely to redevelop into a cyclone.
However, there is still some chance that the low could take a more southwestward
track into the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf, and then re-intensify into a tropical
cyclone, bringing GALES with gusts to 110 kilometres per hour to the coast
between the DALY RIVER MOUTH and the NT/WA BORDER during today, extending west
along the coast to KALUMBURU tonight or early Thursday morning.
There is a possibility of DESTRUCTIVE WINDS with gusts to 150 kilometres per
hour developing between KALUMBURU and the NT/WA BORDER during Thursday.
HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause significant stream rises and flooding of low
lying areas across the TOP END and extending to the north Kimberley on Thursday.
Details of EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 7 am CST [5:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 13.0 degrees South 130.2 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 60 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the south at 11 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 65 kilometres per hour
. Central pressure......... 998 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING continues between DALY RIVER MOUTH and KALUMBURU in
Western Australia.
The next advice will be issued at 11 am CST [9:30 am WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
MEDIA: the following message is only for broadcast in Western Australia
The WA State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: Current for coastal and island communities between Kalumburu and the
NT/WA Border, including Kalumburu, Wyndham, and Oombulgurri.
For further information contact the WA State Emergency Service.
SYSTEM OVER LAND, POSSIBLE REDEVELOPMENT SEEMS LOW.
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Rod Hagen
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 237
- Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:22 am
- Location: Lives in Melbourne, works in N Queensland
Some more on the Damage at Maningrida:
By Lindsay Murdoch in Maningrida
April 26, 2006
CYCLONE Monica hammered the small Aboriginal community of Maningrida on the West Arnhem Land coast with devastating force for more than 12 hours.
"It was amazing nobody was hurt," said an emergency services worker, Olga Wrzesinska, last night.
A wind recording instrument at the police station broke after registering 170 kilometres per hour early yesterday.
"The gales were much higher [than that] - it came in as a category five storm, which is very frightening," Ms Wrzesinska said. "The eye of the storm was only 10 kilometres off the coast from here."
But Monica then travelled further south and inland than predicted, sparing Darwin an even more destructive storm than Cyclone Tracy, which devastated the city in 1974.
Last night Monica had weakened to a tropical low, even though it may intensify again before menacing Western Australia.
In Maningrida, trees were snapped and uprooted, and sheets of iron, exhaust fans, timber and rubbish bins were turned into deadly missiles that shot through the darkness, often spearing buildings.
As 30 people huddled together in the high school, the roof of an adjoining building was blown off. "It collapsed onto the rooms where the people were sheltering," said a photographer, Jake Nowakowski. "How nobody was hurt I don't know … It seemed like it would never end."
Bradley Mason, 21, surveyed the devastation of what had been his family's house. "It's just as well we went to a shelter - the house is totally destroyed," he said. "I don't know what we will do now - find somewhere to sleep, I guess."
A schoolteacher, Kevin Rennie, said the emergency plan had worked quite well. "People had designated houses and shelters to go to," he said.
About 2100 of Maningrida's 2300 residents are indigenous.
"The Aboriginal people take these things in their stride," Mr Rennie said. "Their ancestors rode these things out."
Weather forecasters said that as Monica tracked slowly over the sea towards Maningrida it was the most intense cyclone ever recorded in the Top End.
Yesterday, as workers cleared debris, some people delivered hot food to hungry neighbours.
"It's surreal. Like … all that terror never happened," Ms Wrzesinska said. "This has brought out a great sense of community spirit."
___________________________
Cheers
Rod
By Lindsay Murdoch in Maningrida
April 26, 2006
CYCLONE Monica hammered the small Aboriginal community of Maningrida on the West Arnhem Land coast with devastating force for more than 12 hours.
"It was amazing nobody was hurt," said an emergency services worker, Olga Wrzesinska, last night.
A wind recording instrument at the police station broke after registering 170 kilometres per hour early yesterday.
"The gales were much higher [than that] - it came in as a category five storm, which is very frightening," Ms Wrzesinska said. "The eye of the storm was only 10 kilometres off the coast from here."
But Monica then travelled further south and inland than predicted, sparing Darwin an even more destructive storm than Cyclone Tracy, which devastated the city in 1974.
Last night Monica had weakened to a tropical low, even though it may intensify again before menacing Western Australia.
In Maningrida, trees were snapped and uprooted, and sheets of iron, exhaust fans, timber and rubbish bins were turned into deadly missiles that shot through the darkness, often spearing buildings.
As 30 people huddled together in the high school, the roof of an adjoining building was blown off. "It collapsed onto the rooms where the people were sheltering," said a photographer, Jake Nowakowski. "How nobody was hurt I don't know … It seemed like it would never end."
Bradley Mason, 21, surveyed the devastation of what had been his family's house. "It's just as well we went to a shelter - the house is totally destroyed," he said. "I don't know what we will do now - find somewhere to sleep, I guess."
A schoolteacher, Kevin Rennie, said the emergency plan had worked quite well. "People had designated houses and shelters to go to," he said.
About 2100 of Maningrida's 2300 residents are indigenous.
"The Aboriginal people take these things in their stride," Mr Rennie said. "Their ancestors rode these things out."
Weather forecasters said that as Monica tracked slowly over the sea towards Maningrida it was the most intense cyclone ever recorded in the Top End.
Yesterday, as workers cleared debris, some people delivered hot food to hungry neighbours.
"It's surreal. Like … all that terror never happened," Ms Wrzesinska said. "This has brought out a great sense of community spirit."
___________________________
Cheers
Rod
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 79
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:00 pm CST [12:30 pm WST] Wednesday 26 April 2006
A CYCLONE WARNING is now current between PORT KEATS and KALUMBURU in Western
Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING between DALY RIVER MOUTH and PORT KEATS has been cancelled.
At 1 pm CST [11:30 am WST] a TROPICAL LOW [EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica] was
located near the coast about 200 kilometres southwest of DARWIN and 65
kilometres north of PORT KEATS, moving southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. The
low is expected to continue on a generally southward track near the coast. On
that track it is unlikely to redevelop into a cyclone.
However, there is still some chance that the low could take a track to the
southwest, into the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf. If it does, the low could then
re-intensify into a tropical cyclone, bringing GALES with gusts to 110
kilometres per hour to the coast between PORT KEATS and the NT/WA BORDER during
tonight, extending west along the coast to KALUMBURU Thursday morning.
HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause significant stream rises and flooding of low
lying areas across the TOP END and may extend to the north Kimberley on
Thursday.
Details of EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 1 pm CST [11:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 13.6 degrees South 129.5 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 60 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the southwest at 15 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 65 kilometres per hour
. Central pressure......... 1001 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current between PORT KEATS and KALUMBURU in
Western Australia.
The next advice will be issued at 5 pm CST [3:30 pm WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
MEDIA: the following message is only for broadcast in Western Australia
The WA State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: Current for coastal and island communities between Kalumburu and the
NT/WA Border, including Kalumburu, Wyndham, and Oombulgurri.
For further information contact the WA State Emergency Service.
REDEVELOPMENT NOT EXPECTED, MONICA IS DONE!!!
Northern Territory
Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre
TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 79
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 2:00 pm CST [12:30 pm WST] Wednesday 26 April 2006
A CYCLONE WARNING is now current between PORT KEATS and KALUMBURU in Western
Australia.
The CYCLONE WARNING between DALY RIVER MOUTH and PORT KEATS has been cancelled.
At 1 pm CST [11:30 am WST] a TROPICAL LOW [EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica] was
located near the coast about 200 kilometres southwest of DARWIN and 65
kilometres north of PORT KEATS, moving southwest at 15 kilometres per hour. The
low is expected to continue on a generally southward track near the coast. On
that track it is unlikely to redevelop into a cyclone.
However, there is still some chance that the low could take a track to the
southwest, into the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf. If it does, the low could then
re-intensify into a tropical cyclone, bringing GALES with gusts to 110
kilometres per hour to the coast between PORT KEATS and the NT/WA BORDER during
tonight, extending west along the coast to KALUMBURU Thursday morning.
HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause significant stream rises and flooding of low
lying areas across the TOP END and may extend to the north Kimberley on
Thursday.
Details of EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica at 1 pm CST [11:30 am WST]:
. Centre located near...... 13.6 degrees South 129.5 degrees East
. Location accuracy........ within 60 kilometres
. Recent movement.......... towards the southwest at 15 km/h
. Wind gusts near centre... 65 kilometres per hour
. Central pressure......... 1001 hectoPascals
REPEATING: A CYCLONE WARNING is current between PORT KEATS and KALUMBURU in
Western Australia.
The next advice will be issued at 5 pm CST [3:30 pm WST].
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
MEDIA: the following message is only for broadcast in Western Australia
The WA State Emergency Service advises the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: Current for coastal and island communities between Kalumburu and the
NT/WA Border, including Kalumburu, Wyndham, and Oombulgurri.
For further information contact the WA State Emergency Service.
REDEVELOPMENT NOT EXPECTED, MONICA IS DONE!!!
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HurricaneBill
- Category 5
- Posts: 3420
- Joined: Sun Apr 11, 2004 5:51 pm
- Location: East Longmeadow, MA, USA
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P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 80
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 5:00 pm CST [3:30 pm WST] Wednesday 26 April 2006
The CYCLONE WARNING for communities between PORT KEATS and KALUMBURU in Western
Australia has been cancelled.
At 4 pm CST [2:30 pm WST] a weakening TROPICAL LOW [EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica]
was located about 205 kilometres southwest of DARWIN and 70 kilometres north of
PORT KEATS. The low is slow moving but expected to move on a general southward
track overnight and continue to weaken. It is not expected to redevelop into a
cyclone.
HEAVY RAIN currently falling over the southern Darwin-Daly District and northern
Victoria River District is expected to continue and may lead to significant
stream rises and flooding of low lying areas. Locally damaging wind gusts up to
100 km/h are also possible due to squally showers in this area. Please refer to
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING issued by the Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre for the
latest information.
No further cyclone advices will be issued unless the situation changes.
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 80
Issued by the BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY, DARWIN
at 5:00 pm CST [3:30 pm WST] Wednesday 26 April 2006
The CYCLONE WARNING for communities between PORT KEATS and KALUMBURU in Western
Australia has been cancelled.
At 4 pm CST [2:30 pm WST] a weakening TROPICAL LOW [EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE Monica]
was located about 205 kilometres southwest of DARWIN and 70 kilometres north of
PORT KEATS. The low is slow moving but expected to move on a general southward
track overnight and continue to weaken. It is not expected to redevelop into a
cyclone.
HEAVY RAIN currently falling over the southern Darwin-Daly District and northern
Victoria River District is expected to continue and may lead to significant
stream rises and flooding of low lying areas. Locally damaging wind gusts up to
100 km/h are also possible due to squally showers in this area. Please refer to
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING issued by the Darwin Regional Forecasting Centre for the
latest information.
No further cyclone advices will be issued unless the situation changes.
This advice is available on telephone NT-1300 659 211 and WA-1300 659 210
DARWIN Tropical Cyclone Warning Centre
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Squeako da Magnifico
- Tropical Low
- Posts: 26
- Joined: Wed Mar 29, 2006 4:54 am
- Location: Australia, QLD, Caboolture 45km north of Brisbane
Well this was an Image of a tropical rain forest which was flatten just where the centre of Monica hit. http://www.darwinstorms.com/dryseason/monicathenuke.jpg
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HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
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Matt-hurricanewatcher
-
Rod Hagen
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 237
- Joined: Fri Sep 23, 2005 6:22 am
- Location: Lives in Melbourne, works in N Queensland
Squeako da Magnifico wrote:Well this was an Image of a tropical rain forest which was flatten just where the centre of Monica hit. http://www.darwinstorms.com/dryseason/monicathenuke.jpg
What paper is that photo out of Squeako? It looks strangely familiar to me from a newspaper a year or so back. Is it definitely Monica? I I wouldn't put it past a newspaper editor to put an old photo to a new story.
Cheers
Rod
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AussieMark
- Category 5
- Posts: 5858
- Joined: Tue Sep 02, 2003 6:36 pm
- Location: near Sydney, Australia
Rod Hagen wrote:Squeako da Magnifico wrote:Well this was an Image of a tropical rain forest which was flatten just where the centre of Monica hit. http://www.darwinstorms.com/dryseason/monicathenuke.jpg
What paper is that photo out of Squeako? It looks strangely familiar to me from a newspaper a year or so back. Is it definitely Monica? I I wouldn't put it past a newspaper editor to put an old photo to a new story.
Cheers
Rod
Northern Territory news
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HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 46086
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
- Location: Key West, FL
- Contact:
CYCLONE SMASHES RAINFALL RECORDS
By GREG McLEAN
27apr06
A LATE monsoon and Cyclone Monica have combined to produce record rainfall figures for Darwin.
With three days to go until the end of April, there has already been a record amount of rainfall in Darwin since records were first kept 65 years ago, with 383mm recorded since April 1.
The previous April record of 357mm for Darwin was recorded in 1953.
Almost 300mm of rain fell at Goat Island in the 24 hours to 9am yesterday.
Adelaide River east recorded 225mm during the same period, while 187mm fell at the Adelaide River post office.
The daily rainfall record for April in the Territory is 545mm at Roper Valley in 1963.
Weather bureau senior forecaster Sam Cleland said it was unusual for the Territory to be hit with a late monsoon and an intense cyclone in April.
"April is usually the transition month between the Wet and the Dry," he said.
"We started the month with a late burst of monsoonal activity that dumped a substantial amount of rainfall and topped it up with an intense cyclone at the end."
The dry season starts on May 1.
"Now ex-Cyclone Monica is moving away from the Territory the likelihood of rainfall should decrease," Mr Cleland said.
Ex-Cyclone Monica has weakened to a tropical low centred around the Daly River and is expected to move into Western Australia's Kimberley region in the next few days with the potential to reintensify into a cyclone.
Convertions:
383 mm = 15.0787 inches
357 = 14.0551
300 = 11.811
225 = 8.8583
187 = 7.3622
545 = 21.4567
By GREG McLEAN
27apr06
A LATE monsoon and Cyclone Monica have combined to produce record rainfall figures for Darwin.
With three days to go until the end of April, there has already been a record amount of rainfall in Darwin since records were first kept 65 years ago, with 383mm recorded since April 1.
The previous April record of 357mm for Darwin was recorded in 1953.
Almost 300mm of rain fell at Goat Island in the 24 hours to 9am yesterday.
Adelaide River east recorded 225mm during the same period, while 187mm fell at the Adelaide River post office.
The daily rainfall record for April in the Territory is 545mm at Roper Valley in 1963.
Weather bureau senior forecaster Sam Cleland said it was unusual for the Territory to be hit with a late monsoon and an intense cyclone in April.
"April is usually the transition month between the Wet and the Dry," he said.
"We started the month with a late burst of monsoonal activity that dumped a substantial amount of rainfall and topped it up with an intense cyclone at the end."
The dry season starts on May 1.
"Now ex-Cyclone Monica is moving away from the Territory the likelihood of rainfall should decrease," Mr Cleland said.
Ex-Cyclone Monica has weakened to a tropical low centred around the Daly River and is expected to move into Western Australia's Kimberley region in the next few days with the potential to reintensify into a cyclone.
Convertions:
383 mm = 15.0787 inches
357 = 14.0551
300 = 11.811
225 = 8.8583
187 = 7.3622
545 = 21.4567
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