EPAC to an Early Start Maybe with Possible Invest - 8N 125W?

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
CHRISTY

#41 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 10, 2006 5:28 pm

here the animation....

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
HURAKAN
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 46086
Age: 38
Joined: Thu May 20, 2004 4:34 pm
Location: Key West, FL
Contact:

#42 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Apr 10, 2006 6:00 pm

Image

I have to correct something that I said before, Hurricane Winnie formed in 1983 and not 1992 as I said. I guess since 1992 was such an active season for the EPAC (A - Z), that I just associated Winnie with the 1992 season but in reality it formed in another active season, the 1983 season (A - W).
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23694
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#43 Postby gatorcane » Mon Apr 10, 2006 6:57 pm

I have to correct something that I said before, Hurricane Winnie formed in 1983 and not 1992 as I said. I guess since 1992 was such an active season for the EPAC (A - Z), that I just associated Winnie with the 1992 season but in reality it formed in another active season, the 1983 season (A - W).


Thanks for the information. I am still learning about the EPAC. 8-)
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#44 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 10, 2006 9:40 pm

new GFS says that that LOW pressure has formed with the cluster of thunderstorms....

Image
0 likes   

CHRISTY

#45 Postby CHRISTY » Mon Apr 10, 2006 10:44 pm

this map says we should be looking in the EAST PACIFIC for tropical development.these boxes show were shear is low...

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
benny
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 593
Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 8:09 am
Location: Miami

#46 Postby benny » Mon Apr 10, 2006 11:47 pm

CHRISTY wrote:this map says we should be looking in the EAST PACIFIC for tropical development.these boxes show were shear is low...



Those boxes are actually a combination of all of the parameters that the page measures, including shear, moisture, stability, low-level vorticity etc. Another useful chart on that same website is anomalous genesis probability. Although I don't think they are any different this time of year since the genesis probability climatologically speaking is just about zero.
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: Cpv17, Google [Bot], Heretoserve, kenayers, Tak5, wileytheartist and 81 guests