SE Indian Ocean: TC Hubert

[HURAKAN]

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 9
Issued at 6:05 am WST on Friday, 7 April 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

A CYCLONE WARNING is now current for a CATEGORY 2 CYCLONE for the coastal areas
between Roebourne and Coral Bay and inland parts of the West Pilbara.

A CYCLONE WATCH extends to the adjacent parts of the Gascoyne and coastal areas
between Coral Bay and Minilya Roadhouse.

At 5am WST TROPICAL CYCLONE HUBERT was estimated to be
170 kilometres north of Onslow and
205 kilometres west northwest of Karratha
moving south southwest at 12 kilometres per hour.

Gales with gusts to 100 kilometres per hour are expected on the west Pilbara
coast this morning. As TROPICAL CYCLONE HUBERT approaches the coast destructive
winds with gusts to 160 kilometres per hour may develop in between Mardie and
Exmouth this afternoon.

Heavy rainfall is likely about the west Pilbara coast today, causing flooding in
coastal streams.

Tides between Dampier and Onslow are likely to rise above the normal high tide
mark with very rough seas and flooding of low-lying coastal areas.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Hubert at 5am WST.
Location of centre : within 50 kilometres of
Latitude 20.1 South Longitude 115.0 East.
Recent movement : South southwest at 12 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 970 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 150 kilometres per hour near the centre.
Severity category : 2.

The next advice will be issued at 9am WST Friday.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:
BLUE ALERT: People in or near the communities of Karratha, Roebourne, Point
Samson, Wickham, Dampier, Pannawonica, Onslow, Exmouth and Mardie should begin
taking precautions.

Communities between Roebourne and Minilya Roadhouse should listen for the next
advice.Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are
available by
dialling 1300 659 210


A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone

20 kph more and becomes a severe Cat. 3 storm!

[Rod Hagen]

Its looking as if this one probably will hit pretty close to Exmouth. Weaker than Glenda, but striking a more populated area.



Cheers

Rod

[CHRISTY]

infrared of hubert....



IF U WANT TO SEE A REAL CLOSEUP ON HUBERT TRUST ME THIS IS THE LINK..IT TAKES A WHILE TO LOAD BUT IT DOES NOT GET ANT BETTER THEN THIS HERE U GO...http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/visir/shemi/visirjava21.html

[HURAKAN]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0037UTC 7 APRIL 2006

STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0000 UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert located within 40 nautical miles of
Latitude nineteen decimal nine degrees South [19.9S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal nine degrees East [114.9E]
Recent movement : south southwest at 6 knots.
Maximum winds : 55 knots.
Central pressure: 970hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 40 nautical miles of the centre in northern quadrants, extending to
within 80 nautical miles in southern quadrants.


FORECAST
Within 30 nautical miles of the centre extending to 50 nautical miles in
southern quadrants: 45/55 knot winds with high to very high seas and moderate
swell.
Within 40 nautical miles of the centre in northern quadrants, extending to
within 80 nautical miles in southern quadrants: Clockwise winds 30/45 knots with
rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.


At 1200 UTC 07 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 21.0 South 114.7 East
Central pressure 978 hPa.
Winds to 50 knots near centre.
At 0000 UTC 08 April: Within 70 nautical miles of 22.2 South 114.4 East
Central pressure 986 hPa.
Winds to 40 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 0700 UTC 07 April 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

If this is 55 knots 10-min, then it's almost a hurricane with winds near 63 knots 1-min. Hubert getting stronger!

[HurricaneHunter914]

If our Storm Categories scale was this low for the Atlantic we would need a a cat-6 and 7.

[P.K.]

Starting to fill.

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 0639UTC 7 APRIL 2006

STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0600UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude twenty decimal four degrees South [20.4S]
Longitude one hundred and fourteen decimal seven degrees East [114.7E]
Recent movement : south at 5 knots.
Maximum winds : 50 knots.
Central pressure: 978hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 35 nautical miles of the centre in northern quadrants, extending to
within 90 nautical miles in southern quadrants.


FORECAST
Within 20 nautical miles of the centre extending to within 45 nautical miles in
southern quadrants: 45/55 knot winds with high to very high seas and moderate
swell.
Within 35 nautical miles of the centre in northern quadrants, extending to
within 90 nautical miles in southern quadrants: Clockwise winds 30/45 knots with
rough to very rough seas and moderate swell.


At 1800UTC 07 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 21.5 South 114.5 East
Central pressure 982 hPa.
Winds to 45 knots near centre.
At 0600UTC 08 April: Within 90 nautical miles of 22.8 South 114.3 East
Central pressure 988 hPa.
Winds to 35 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 07 April 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

[P.K.]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1021UTC 7 APRIL 2006

STORM WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 0900UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert relocated within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude twenty one decimal three degrees South [21.3S]
Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal three degrees East [115.3E]
Recent movement : South southeast at 10 knots.
Maximum winds : 45 knots.
Central pressure: 984hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 50 nautical miles of the centre.


FORECAST
Clockwise winds 30/45 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell,
easing below 34 knots by 2100UTC 07 April.


At 1800UTC 07 April: Within 50 nautical miles of 22.4 South 115.3 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1300 UTC 07 April 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

[HURAKAN]

HIGH SEAS WEATHER WARNING FOR METAREA 10 ISSUED BY THE
AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
CENTRE PERTH AT 1255UTC 7 APRIL 2006

GALE WARNING FOR THE WESTERN AREA

Please be aware, wind gusts can be a further 40 percent stronger than the
averages given here, and maximum waves may be up to twice the height.

SITUATION
At 1200UTC Tropical Cyclone Hubert located within 30 nautical miles of
Latitude twenty one decimal four degrees South [21.4S]
Longitude one hundred and fifteen decimal four degrees East [115.4E]
Recent movement : South southeast at 7 knots.
Maximum winds : 40 knots.
Central pressure: 990hPa.


AREA AFFECTED
Within 35 nautical miles of the centre.


FORECAST
Clockwise winds 30/40 knots with rough to very rough seas and moderate swell,
easing below 34 knots by 2100UTC 07 April.


At 1800UTC 07 April: Within 30 nautical miles of 22.4 South 115.3 East
Central pressure 992 hPa.
Winds to 30 knots near centre.

Next warning issued by 1900 UTC 07 April 2006.

WEATHER PERTH

[HURAKAN]

BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
WESTERN AUSTRALIA REGIONAL OFFICE

Media: The Emergency Warning Signal should NOT be used with this warning.

PRIORITY

TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 16
Issued at 11:50 pm WST on Friday, 7 April 2006
BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

The CYCLONE WARNING for coastal areas between Mardie and Onslow has been
cancelled.

At 11pm WST EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUBERT was estimated to be
40 kilometres east northeast of Onslow and
60 kilometres southwest of Mardie
moving south southeast at 12 kilometres per hour.

EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUBERT has weakened and sustained gales are no longer
expected in coastal areas. However, strong and gusty winds with moderate
rainfall should persist in parts of the western Pilbara during Saturday as the
system further weakens. Please refer to Flood Advices for further information on
flooding through the west Pilbara

Details of EX-TROPICAL CYCLONE HUBERT at 11pm WST.
Location of centre : within 55 kilometres of
Latitude 21.5 South Longitude 115.5 East.
Recent movement : South southeast at 12 kilometres per hour.
Central Pressure : 996 hPa.
Maximum wind gusts : 80 kilometres per hour.
Severity category : below tropical cyclone intensity.

No further tropical cyclone advices are anticipated for this system.

FESA-State Emergency Service advises of the following community alerts:
ALL CLEAR WITH CAUTION:
People in or near communities of Onslow, Exmouth, Karratha, Pannawonica,
Roebourne, Wickham, Point Samson, Dampier and Mardie are advised that the Blue
Alert has been lifted and they can proceed with caution.
Cyclone advices and State Emergency Service Community Alerts are available by
dialling 1300 659 210


A map showing the track of the cyclone is available at:
http://www.bom.gov.au/weather/wa/cyclone

HUBERT IS NO MORE!!!

[P.K.]

There wasn't much on the radar when I looked earlier, it fell apart rather quickly when approaching land.

[HURAKAN]

Did it make landfall or dissipated before making landfall? Pretty close to call.

[P.K.]

Just about made it going by this. http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDW60281.shtml