Mozambique Channel: NR 13 (Invest 90S)

#2 Postby **P.K.** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 11:30 am

Nothing from Meteo-France on this area yet.

FQZA31 FAPR 301400
SECURITE:
=========
WEATHER BULLETIN FOR THE HIGH SEAS FOR METAREA VII.
ISSUED BY THE SOUTH AFRICAN WEATHER SERVICE ON THE
30th OF MARCH 2006 AT 14:00 UTC.

AREA 1:
=======
FORECAST VALID FROM 302200 TO 312200 UTC.
WIND IN KNOTS, WAVE HEIGHTS IN METRES. NO SEA STATE GIVEN IF
WAVES LESS THAN 3M.

NOTE THE WIND SPEEDS QUOTED HERE ARE THE EXPECTED AVERAGE SPEEDS.
INDIVIDUAL GUSTS MAY EXCEED THESE VALUES BY A FACTOR OF UP TO 1.5.
WAVE HEIGHTS ARE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHTS WHICH MAY BE ACCOMPANIED
BY INDIVIDUAL WAVES 1.5 TO 2.0 TIMES HIGHER.

GALE WARNING(S):
Nil.

SYNOPTIC SITUATION AT 301200 UTC
=================================
High 1038 hPa 45s14w High 1030 hPa 38s50e
Low 1006 hPa 47s17e Low 970 hPa 60s37e Low 1010 hPa 36s19e

1. Cold front: 34s03w 35s04e 40s14e 47s17e 55s41e 60s37e

AREA FORECAST:
==============

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : Cyclonic 10 to 20 over the central part between 21S
and 23S, otherwise SE 10 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in
the south.
VIS : Poor in showers.
SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3m over the southern half, S swell.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #3 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:07 pm

30/1400 UTC 22.7S 38.5E T1.0/1.0 98S -- South Indian Ocean

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #4 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:08 pm

Wow this looks very good. Nice blow up of convection I would not be suprized if this was already a depression.

#5 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:11 pm

#6 Postby **P.K.** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:12 pm

Nothing at 1800 GMT.

Jeudi, 30 mars 2006, 22h31 (UTC+4)

Il n´y a pas ou plus d´activité cyclonique en cours,
(ou bien le bulletin spécialisé d´information n´est pas disponible)

From the 1730 GMT from the South African Weather Service.

AREA FORECAST:
==============

MOZAMBIQUE CHANNEL:
WIND : Cyclonic 10 to 20 over the central part between 21S
and 23S, otherwise SE 10 to 15 reaching 20 to 25 in
the south.
VIS : Poor in showers.
SEA STATE: 2.5 to 3m over the southern half, S swell.

#7 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:34 pm

MiamiensisWx · #8 Postby **MiamiensisWx** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:36 pm

Looking good!

#9 Postby **P.K.** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:40 pm

I see this is down as NR13 on that page but where are they getting their information from? I can't see anything on the M-F page.

#10 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:42 pm

P.K. wrote:I see this is down as NR13 on that page but where are they getting their information from? I can't see anything on the M-F page.

http://www.mtotec.com/

#11 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:44 pm

HurricaneHunter914 · #12 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:47 pm

Not as organized as it was but still looking good!

#13 Postby **P.K.** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 4:47 pm

I see it is on that page I just wonder who is writing the advisories on there though? (13 is the next number though). :lol:

#14 Postby **HURAKAN** » Thu Mar 30, 2006 10:16 pm

31/0230 UTC 23.6S 40.4E T1.5/1.5 90S -- South Indian Ocean

GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED!

#15 Postby **HURAKAN** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 9:41 am

HurricaneHunter914 · #16 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Mar 31, 2006 4:47 pm

Weird, to think when it was first posted it looked like it was to be a monster like it's predecestors and now it is getting destroyed by shear like in the Atlantic.

Mozambique Channel: NR 13 (Invest 90S)

Mozambique Channel: NR 13 (Invest 90S)

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