hey not sure if anyone seen this graphic?but check it out..

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CHRISTY

hey not sure if anyone seen this graphic?but check it out..

#1 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Mar 14, 2006 1:23 am

SE FLORIDA SEEMS TO BE RIGHT AT THE TOP IN EVERY LIST! Tropical Cyclones (including Tropical Depressions): 20-22
Named Storms: 19-21
Hurricanes: 10-12
Major Hurricanes: 4-6
Category 4-5 Hurricanes: 2-4

Probability of Above Average Activity (115% of Norm): 90%
Probability of Hyperactive Season (150% of Norm): 80%

ACE Index Outlook: 155-245

Probability of a Tropical Cyclone making landfall in U.S: 96%
Probability of a Named Storm making landfall in U.S: 95%
Probability of a Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 90%
Probability of a Major Hurricane making landfall in U.S 75%
Probability of a Category 4-5 Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 45%
Probability of a Category 5 Hurricane making landfall in U.S: 30%

Major Areas of Concern: (+ indicated at least the strength of that category, for example T STM+ means probability of at least 1 Tropical Storm strength storm or higher striking that area)

Area: T STM+ HURRC+ MJ HR+ CAT 4+

NE FL 35% 25% 10% 5%
SE FL 70% 55% 35% 20%
NW FL 60% 45% 30% 15%
SW FL 65% 50% 40% 20%
AL 30% 20% 10% 5%
MS 30% 20% 10% 5%
SE LA 40% 25% 15% 5%
SW LA 35% 25% 10% 5%
N TX 25% 15% 5% <5%
C TX 40% 25% 15% 10%
S TX 45% 35% 25% 15%
GA 20% 10% 5% <5%
SC 30% 15% 10% 5%
NC 45% 30% 20% 10%
Other 25% 15% 5% <5%

Most Likely Landfalling Storms for U.S:

Most likely number of landfalling storms in U.S: 7
Most likely number of landfalling Hurricanes in U.S: 4
Most likely number of landfalling Major Hurricanes in U.S: 2

Most likely months for landfalling storms: late-July, late-August, late-September

Four most likely areas to recieve storms: SE FL, SW FL, NW FL, NC
Three most likely areas to recieve hurricanes: SE FL, LA, NW FL
Two most likely areas to receive major hurricanes: SE FL, SW FL
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#2 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Mar 14, 2006 1:28 am

where did you get this info... you got a link? thanks
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CHRISTY

#3 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Mar 14, 2006 1:31 am

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#4 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Mar 14, 2006 1:35 am

thanks
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#5 Postby skysummit » Tue Mar 14, 2006 5:05 am

What graphic?
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#6 Postby Ixolib » Tue Mar 14, 2006 7:03 am

skysummit wrote:What graphic?


:D :D
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#7 Postby EDR1222 » Tue Mar 14, 2006 7:38 am

Interesting information. Thanks for posting Christy.
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#8 Postby windycity » Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:29 am

hum, we will see, wont we? Im not surprised to see W.Fl. as high risk. The SSTs in the GOM are up there.I pray this isnt Tampas year, even a minimal cane would cause alot of damage.
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#9 Postby Rainband » Tue Mar 14, 2006 11:51 am

windycity wrote:hum, we will see, wont we? Im not surprised to see W.Fl. as high risk. The SSTs in the GOM are up there.I pray this isnt Tampas year, even a minimal cane would cause alot of damage.
I agree. :( Unlike some people, I am not looking foward to this year. I hope our luck holds again this season. I wish for fish.
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#10 Postby OuterBanker » Tue Mar 14, 2006 12:01 pm

No offense, but I don't like being on that list. Btw Christy, were you in Homestead during Andrew?
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#11 Postby ROCK » Tue Mar 14, 2006 4:34 pm

FL will always be on top....You guys are sticking out there like a big target...... :D
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#12 Postby Hybridstorm_November2001 » Tue Mar 14, 2006 4:36 pm

Yup one of Hurricanes favorite destinations :lol:
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#13 Postby senorpepr » Tue Mar 14, 2006 8:55 pm

I'm still waiting for the graphic...
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