Cyclone forming?

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Matt-hurricanewatcher

Cyclone forming?

#1 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jan 09, 2006 10:54 pm

A SURFACE 1011 MB LOW CENTER NEAR
30N19W IS CONNECTED TO AN OCCLUDED FRONT WHICH GOES FROM THE
LOW CENTER TO 30N15W. THE COLD FRONT GOES FROM 30N15W TO 25N20W
TO 24N30W TO 25N35W. GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST THIS LOW TO MOVE TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND STRENGTHEN SLIGHTLY TOMORROW. ISOLATED
MODERATE SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS ARE FOUND FROM 26N
TO 34N BETWEEN 12W AND 27W. WINDS NEAR GALE FORCE ARE PRESENT
ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE CIRCULATION.


:lol:
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Margie

#2 Postby Margie » Mon Jan 09, 2006 10:59 pm

I've been watching it, but it doesn't look promising.
Last edited by Margie on Mon Jan 09, 2006 11:02 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#3 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jan 09, 2006 11:00 pm

We need to watch it as it move southwestward. Hurricane season 2005 rocks on!!!
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wxcrazytwo

#4 Postby wxcrazytwo » Mon Jan 09, 2006 11:01 pm

you have got to be kidding me.
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Coredesat

#5 Postby Coredesat » Mon Jan 09, 2006 11:14 pm

A 1010 MB LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS LOCATED NEAR 26N25W.
THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THE 1030 MB HIGH AND THE
1010 MB LOW IS PRODUCING GALE CONDITIONS WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BETWEEN THE AZORES AND THE MADEIRA ISLANDS. THESE CONDITIONS ARE
FORECAST TO PERSIST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. A COLD FRONT
EXTENDS FROM THE LOW ALONG 23N20W FLATTENING TO 22N32W.
WIDESPREAD BROKEN CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE NEAR THE LOW.
A BAND OF BROKEN/OVERCAST LOW CLOUDS AND ISOLATED SHOWERS IS
WITHIN 100 NM AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. GLOBAL MODELS FORECAST
THE LOW TO CONTINUE MOVING TO THE SOUTHWEST. GFS DISSIPATES THE
LOW WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS...WHILE NOGAPS AND UKMET KEEP A
CLOSED CIRCULATION THROUGH 24-36 HOURS.


It really doesn't look like a whole lot on satellite imagery. It shouldn't be long before it gets killed by shear.
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#6 Postby WindRunner » Tue Jan 10, 2006 6:09 am

It's cold-core right now and forecast to get even more so. Nothing to worry about.
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#7 Postby terstorm1012 » Tue Jan 10, 2006 12:09 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:We need to watch it as it move southwestward. Hurricane season 2005 rocks on!!!


This is 2006 Hurricane season now.

Anything that forms now through Dec 31, 2006 would start with the 2006 list. 2005 Hurricane season is over! (Thank goodness too!)
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