Massive Ridge Develops Across Entire N. Atlantic and E. U.S

[CHRISTY]

[WeatherEmperor]

With that massive ridge forecast to build in the Atlantic, fortunately I dont see any of the models develop any low pressure areas to ride underneath them to threaten the east coast. perhaps that could change but from what they are showing now, its just gonna be another big high pressure dome.

<RICKY>

[f5]

oh great the Bastardi ridge.He always talks about it so i decided to call it the Bastardi high

[coriolis]

Aw take it easy on the newbies! What is obvious today was not so a year ago, and less the year before. State the obvious and not so obvious and everyone learns. Welcome to the forum!

Good advice. Take Heed!

That's how S2K works. Everyone was a newbie once upon a time.

[ameriwx2003]

ECMWF has the caribbean system in the Southern Gulf and brings a developing System into the Bahamas underneath a big high in the 7 day time frame.

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 5092712!!/

[WeatherEmperor]

I think there is a higher chance now that 99L will just stay low enough to avoid the US.

<RICKY>

[Steve H.]

But watch the EC on this one, as it is on the money IMO bringing the wave out to the ENE of the Islands developing as it comes west. There is actually a LLC developing with that wave now, and as it gets in better UL conditions, that might be a problem for the SE US late in the weekend. Actually, there could be 2 problems, but we won't go there right now.

[WeatherEmperor]

But watch the EC on this one, as it is on the money IMO bringing the wave out to the ENE of the Islands developing as it comes west. There is actually a LLC developing with that wave now, and as it gets in better UL conditions, that might be a problem for the SE US late in the weekend. Actually, there could be 2 problems, but we won't go there right now.

wait wait. which wave(s) are you talking about? Can you show me a satellite pic of what you are talking about?

<RICKY>

[greeng13]

But watch the EC on this one, as it is on the money IMO bringing the wave out to the ENE of the Islands developing as it comes west. There is actually a LLC developing with that wave now, and as it gets in better UL conditions, that might be a problem for the SE US late in the weekend. Actually, there could be 2 problems, but we won't go there right now.

wait wait. which wave(s) are you talking about? Can you show me a satellite pic of what you are talking about?

<RICKY>

That's what i was wondering also

[Steve H.]

It is the wave that the NHC is now mentioning in their TWO (5pm). Its blowing up convection at the tail end of the low in the central Atlantic. UL winds are inhibiting development now (Its getting sheared from the south), but as it moves west it will eventually get into a more favorable environment as the ridge builds over the western Atlantic. The TWO states "no significant develop will occur during the next couple of days." The wave to the SE of that is also promising, as is another further to the east. We'll have to watch these down the road. But, we must watch this as it could be a TD at anytime now. Then the SE US will have to watch for development to its east toward the weekend.

[WeatherEmperor]

if the ridge is really gonna build in like the models are suggesting, wont it keep that Atlantic wave mentioned in the 530 TWO on a more southerly track through the islands and eventually into the Caribbean? How would it move north of the islands and potentially be something for the East Coast to watch?

<RICKY>

[krysof]

The high is expected to be off the east coast, so as it nears the U.S, it would turn north around the high pressure up the EC potentially.

[skysummit]

if the ridge is really gonna build in like the models are suggesting, wont it keep that Atlantic wave mentioned in the 530 TWO on a more southerly track through the islands and eventually into the Caribbean? How would it move north of the islands and potentially be something for the East Coast to watch?

<RICKY>

I agree Ricky. I say it's going to stay south and get into the Carribean. The way it looks right now, anything disturbance in the Atlantic could potentially get into the Carribean.

[ameriwx2003]

But watch the EC on this one, as it is on the money IMO bringing the wave out to the ENE of the Islands developing as it comes west. There is actually a LLC developing with that wave now, and as it gets in better UL conditions, that might be a problem for the SE US late in the weekend. Actually, there could be 2 problems, but we won't go there right now.

Steve agreed.. it does look like the SE US / Florida will have to keep an eye out on the Atlantic system.. The GFS is hinting at developement as well and the pattern that looks to develope sure would fit for something in the SW Atlantic .

[WeatherEmperor]

Yeah I know but how would it move ENE of the Islands when the ridge is forecast to build in? Wouldnt that keep it going into the Carib and not north of the islands?

<RICKY>

[cinlfla]

I'm confused which wave are you guys talking about?

[skysummit]

I'm confused which wave are you guys talking about?

The next group of clouds just to the east of the Carribean.

[cinlfla]

Ahh, Thank You Skysummit There are several waves out there and I got lost in the midst of the discussion