I trust the NHC but...

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Blown Away
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I trust the NHC but...

#1 Postby Blown Away » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:40 am

this seems to the beginning of the track shifting right after each advisory, which is typical of alot of storms over the years.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2005/RI ... hics.shtml
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aOl
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#2 Postby aOl » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:50 am

Are you saying you think NHC should have had the track further right all along, or that they shouldn't shift it right?

:?: :?: :?:
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#3 Postby Blown Away » Thu Sep 22, 2005 7:55 am

No, I'm not an expert, I'm just saying the track has been mostly shifting right after each advisory for the past few days. This seems to be a common trend with alot of predicted storm tracks.
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Ixolib
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#4 Postby Ixolib » Thu Sep 22, 2005 8:10 am

Blown_away wrote:No, I'm not an expert, I'm just saying the track has been mostly shifting right after each advisory for the past few days. This seems to be a common trend with alot of predicted storm tracks.


Not necessiarly... Remember, Katrina's initial and subsequent forecast tracks showed pensular FL, then Big Bend, then Panhandle, then Mobile, then New Orleans. All LEFT. But I agree, track "shifts" are certainly common-place, albeit not unexpected...
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#5 Postby crashtx » Thu Sep 22, 2005 10:50 am

I think they are overcorrecting. I think landfall further west as they have been relying on the pressure ridges to steer this baby and now finding out may not be as influential as once thought. Anyone check out the pressure building in LA in last 3-6 hours?
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