She's gonna be Annular....

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Mac

#41 Postby Mac » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:27 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
Mac wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
Mac wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
Mac wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote::Bump:

It was written on the friggin wall....


She's not annular. Not even close. She may become annular at some point. But not yet.


Ohh she's close...Won't be long now


No, she's not. She has a ragged eyewall. The strong convection isn't wrapped completely around the eye on IR. And the eye is small. We won't even have a hint at whether she will go annular until AFTER she goes through an ERC. To suggest she's going annular at this point is pure guesswork.


The core of this storm resembles a friggin Krispy Creme...As soon as the ERWC is done today she is going to 160+...


Almost there Mac...

It's possible she'll become annular after her ERC. But it's premature at this point, IMO, to definitively say she's going annular. I'll be sure to check back with you later on it though. :wink:


Errr...I've been waiting all damn day. Tell me when so I can stop tapping my fingers, okay?

LOL

Seriously, it's possible she may yet become annular. But like I said before, we won't have any clue until after she goes through an ERC. To be quite honest with you, I'm rather surprised, given her rate of intensification, that she hasn't yet showed any signs of an impending ERC. I'm betting she'll undergo an ERC some time overnight. But she may not become annular at all. Some of them--even the very strongest--never do.
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dolebot_Broward_NW
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#42 Postby dolebot_Broward_NW » Wed Sep 21, 2005 6:36 pm

An annular cane is kind of like putting your car on cruise control on the freeway. Its sort of maxed out, everything is perfect, there is no change in the environment, Its acting as the perfect heat engine.

Rita so far isn't. Its ragged, the outflow isn't perfect, there is nothing perfect about her besides the ridiculous drop in pressure. Annular she is not.
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