Not Much After Ophelia

[ConvergenceZone]

Wow, this is the driest I've seen the Carib Sea and Atlantic basin in a long long time!! Not much convection at all today and tonight. I'm not worried at all about any waves that come off of Africa. I think we already know what happens to those waves. The atmosphere this season is just not conducive to their development. Good, we need a break!!! Let's hope it lasts at least for a couple of weeks if not longer.

[Rashid]

it certainly seems to be dry after "O" but given this season's trend, don't get too comfortable yet.

[feederband]

I've heard that alot this season..Something always crops up..

[AnthonyC]

Considering we just had three hurricanes in the Atlantic basin all at once, I think we need a break. And Ophelia isn't done with the US...I still think she'll make a landfall in FL within the next five days...possibly as a hurricane.

[Skywatch_NC]

Looks like a Carolinas storm this time around...FL and other Gulf states certainly need a BREAK...and the parched Carolinas could surely use some rain...

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/image ... 6_5day.gif

Eric

[MiamiensisWx]

It is interesting to note that despite repeating unfavorable conditions in many areas named systems still manage to pop up. It seems that while Africa may not be as active, systems are doing everything they can to form and "balance out the season". For example, Nate and Ophelia formed from conection along an old frontal boundary.

[Anonymous]

It is interesting to note that despite repeating unfavorable conditions in many areas named systems still manage to pop up. It seems that while Africa may not be as active, systems are doing everything they can to form and "balance out the season". For example, Nate and Ophelia formed from conection along an old frontal boundary.

Why do people say UNFAVORABLE??? The African Dust was strong this year. But...look at how favorable the SSTs WHERE! The SST's are what made the season.

People called this season a dud....even after we had two Cat 4 hurricanes in July....(COUGH COUGH) don't ask me why they did.

Now we have had 16/7/4....and we are not even to Middle-September yet!!! What do people expect from Mother Nature!!!??!

[WeatherEmperor]

I dont think people were ever questioning the entire season as a whole. They just feel that the Cape Verde "part" of the season was inactive. But I think we all agree that overall, this season has been extremely active.

<RICKY>

[MiamiensisWx]

Why do people say UNFAVORABLE??? The African Dust was strong this year. But...look at how favorable the SSTs WHERE! The SST's are what made the season.

People called this season a dud....even after we had two Cat 4 hurricanes in July....(COUGH COUGH) don't ask me why they did.

Now we have had 16/7/4....and we are not even to Middle-September yet!!! What do people expect from Mother Nature!!!??!

I am not calling the season a "dud", ~Floydbuster. I was just pointing out interesting trends in the season. No, I am not saying those trends have been throughout the season. I am just commenting how things are turning out now. Personally, I don't think this season was a "dud" at all... far from it! The debate on "dud" storms and "dud" seasons is foolish. Dosn't anyone see where we are right now? Up to the "O" storm, Ophelia! There are only six more names before we may exhaust the list. After Katrina, people should be GLAD for a break... if it comes.

I agree, SSTs have been very warm as well. I am just commenting on some areas in the Atlantic Basin where there currently is some persistent shear and some unfavorable conditions. No, I am not arguing against anything more forming, either. I am just reporting on and monitoring storms and trends.

Sorry if I didn't explain it well enough...

[gatorcane]

the CV season appears to be nearing an end. After Sept. 10, the chances of a CV storm forming go down dramatically based on climatology. That would be ironic if we didn't get a CV storm despite an active season. Looks like there may be just one more chance left with the strong wave about the exit.

Check out Africa. Nothing for thousands of miles except the one strong wave exiting:

[Brent]

We had a short break after Katrina and then we saw Lee, Maria, Nate, and Ophelia, so I wouldn't get all excited. They seem to come in bursts this season... not just one at the time.

[Jim Hughes]

We had a short break after Katrina and then we saw Lee, Maria, Nate, and Ophelia, so I wouldn't get all excited. They seem to come in bursts this season... not just one at the time.

Sort of like what has occurred with solar flaring/eruptions. We saw a burst start up in the last few days of June and it lasted into mid July. Things then went quiet until around August 23rd....

That lasted a few days until this curent region...crossed the western limb and rotated out of view . But it's backside activity/eruptions were some of the most impressive backside eruptions the past ten years.. and then as it nears the eastern limb about 24-72 hours ago...strong eruptions continue.... It finally shows it's ugly face yesterday and low and behold ....we seem to have three hurricanes in the Atlantic at the same time.

Hmmm..what a coincidence.


Jim