Joe B's Column is free today (link)

[N2FSU]

"... can easily ramp itelf to Cat 3"

http://wwwa.accuweather.com/promotion.a ... ree_column

[Stratosphere747]

Don't take this as a bash against JB or Accuweather.

But how on earth can they go from a track towards NO *yesterday am* as a deepening system to now a track to the Georgia/SC border?

Talk about a cone. Kinda makes it easy for them to say "I told you so".

[Eyes2theSkies]

with a cone like that how can ya be wrong

[BayouVenteux]

Don't take this as a bash against JB or Accuweather.

But how on earth can they go from a track towards NO *yesterday am* as a deepening system to now a track to the Georgia/SC border?

Talk about a cone. Kinda makes it easy for them to say "I told you so".

Looks like Bastardi/Accuwx went hook, line and sinker on the SE U.S. solution this afternoon after first jumping on the ECMWF model's runs showing another Central Gulf Coast problem yesterday. I think he's hoping to find an answer that will make his revised seasonal forecast of a shifting emphasis to East Coast threats pan out.

[Patrick99]

Would the potential development of deeper tropical origin happen to be that area of storms flaring up near the lesser Antilles, trailing that ULL into the Caribbean?

[Steve H.]

I think so. There is an area of convection east of the Windwards and east of the ULL in the Caribbean. Other than that, there is a wave and low between the CV and the Lesser Antilles as well, which could spark after it get past 50W.

[tallbunch]

will change his mind tomorrow, and the next day and the next day

[jasons2k]

Actually JB tends to be on the stubborn side and won't change until the very end. The sudden flip with Ophelia was uncharacteristic of him; but can you blame him? The opinions of everyone changed pretty quickly, including myself.