Invest 92E for EPAC

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cycloneye
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Invest 92E for EPAC

#1 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 04, 2005 4:55 pm

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP922005) ON 20050904 1800 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050904 1800 050905 0600 050905 1800 050906 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.5N 105.5W 14.8N 108.2W 14.9N 110.7W 15.1N 113.1W
BAMM 14.5N 105.5W 15.2N 108.0W 15.7N 110.5W 16.2N 113.1W
LBAR 14.5N 105.5W 14.9N 108.2W 15.4N 111.0W 15.9N 114.0W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 40KTS 47KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 40KTS 47KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050906 1800 050907 1800 050908 1800 050909 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.1N 115.6W 15.2N 120.6W 15.4N 125.8W 14.8N 131.4W
BAMM 16.7N 116.0W 17.7N 121.9W 18.6N 128.1W 19.0N 134.0W
LBAR 16.4N 117.0W 17.1N 122.7W 16.4N 128.1W 15.4N 131.4W
SHIP 52KTS 52KTS 47KTS 42KTS
DSHP 52KTS 52KTS 47KTS 42KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.5N LONCUR = 105.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 13KT
LATM12 = 14.3N LONM12 = 103.0W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 14KT
LATM24 = 14.0N LONM24 = 100.0W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

The EPAC has been quiet for the past 2 weeks until now.
Last edited by cycloneye on Sun Sep 04, 2005 5:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 04, 2005 5:42 pm

ABPZ20 KNHC 042237
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM PDT SUN SEP 4 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

AN AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER LOCATED ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
OF MANZANILLO MEXICO CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT... AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY.

FORECASTER KNABB
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 04, 2005 7:26 pm

05/0000 UTC 15.0N 106.2W T1.0/1.0 92E -- East Pacific Ocean

If this system turns into a Tropical Storm it's name will be Jova.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:50 pm

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP922005) ON 20050905 0000 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050905 0000 050905 1200 050906 0000 050906 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.6N 106.1W 14.9N 108.6W 15.0N 111.0W 15.0N 113.5W
BAMM 14.6N 106.1W 15.4N 108.6W 15.8N 111.1W 16.2N 113.8W
LBAR 14.6N 106.1W 14.9N 108.6W 15.4N 111.3W 15.9N 113.9W
SHIP 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS 47KTS
DSHP 25KTS 33KTS 41KTS 47KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050907 0000 050908 0000 050909 0000 050910 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.0N 116.0W 15.1N 121.4W 14.8N 127.1W 14.5N 132.9W
BAMM 16.7N 116.7W 17.6N 123.1W 18.4N 129.9W 19.9N 136.5W
LBAR 16.4N 116.9W 16.9N 122.5W 16.2N 128.5W 14.3N 129.8W
SHIP 52KTS 51KTS 44KTS 37KTS
DSHP 52KTS 51KTS 44KTS 37KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.6N LONCUR = 106.1W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 14.4N LONM12 = 104.3W DIRM12 = 275DEG SPDM12 = 12KT
LATM24 = 14.1N LONM24 = 101.4W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

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#5 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:52 pm

I was just thinking the other day about how the EPAC has been SO SLOW. Have they had a major hurricane this year???
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#6 Postby Scorpion » Sun Sep 04, 2005 8:53 pm

No theyve only had 3 hurricanes, Adrian Fernanda and Hilary. None have achieved major status. Meanwhile the Atlantic has had THREE sub 931 mb hurricanes. We pretty much own the EPAC.
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#7 Postby HurricaneBill » Sun Sep 04, 2005 9:13 pm

Keep in mind, September is usually when the strongest storms in the EPAC occur.

Plus, who knows? The EPAC might pull a rally like it did in 2003.
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#8 Postby Brent » Sun Sep 04, 2005 10:05 pm

HurricaneBill wrote:Keep in mind, September is usually when the strongest storms in the EPAC occur.


Same for the Atlantic. :lol: :P
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#9 Postby P.K. » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:02 am

WHXX01 KMIA 050727
CHGE77

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

.....THE FOLLOWING IS A TEST MESSAGE.....

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION INVEST (EP922005) ON 20050905 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
050905 0600 050905 1800 050906 0600 050906 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 14.6N 107.5W 15.0N 110.0W 15.1N 112.4W 15.2N 114.9W
BAMM 14.6N 107.5W 15.5N 109.9W 16.1N 112.3W 16.5N 115.0W
LBAR 14.6N 107.5W 15.0N 109.8W 15.5N 112.3W 15.9N 115.1W
SHIP 25KTS 30KTS 35KTS 41KTS
DSHP 25KTS 30KTS 35KTS 41KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
050907 0600 050908 0600 050909 0600 050910 0600

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 15.1N 117.4W 14.7N 123.0W 14.4N 128.7W 14.4N 134.7W
BAMM 16.9N 117.8W 17.7N 124.2W 18.6N 131.3W 20.4N 137.8W
LBAR 16.1N 117.7W 16.5N 123.4W 16.4N 129.7W 14.9N 131.8W
SHIP 45KTS 45KTS 40KTS 32KTS
DSHP 45KTS 45KTS 40KTS 32KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 14.6N LONCUR = 107.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR = 10KT
LATM12 = 14.4N LONM12 = 105.5W DIRM12 = 276DEG SPDM12 = 11KT
LATM24 = 14.2N LONM24 = 103.0W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
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#10 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 05, 2005 6:55 am

ABPZ20 KNHC 051012
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM PDT MON SEP 5 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 575 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH. CONDITIONS STILL APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TO DEVELOP DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART
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#11 Postby cycloneye » Mon Sep 05, 2005 11:23 am

ABPZ20 KNHC 051611
TWOEP
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 AM PDT MON SEP 5 2005

FOR THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC... EAST OF 140 DEGREES WEST LONGITUDE.

A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE LOCATED ABOUT 550 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MEXICO IS MOVING WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
TUESDAY.

FORECASTER MOLLEDA/PASCH

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