later katrina winds could be 190mph!

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truballer#1

later katrina winds could be 190mph!

#1 Postby truballer#1 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 8:57 am

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200508
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adelphi_sky
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#2 Postby adelphi_sky » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:02 am

After reading that intensity forcasting is difficult, this guy has the bead on the length or ERC's and how much the weaken storms? Bold wouldn't you say? Or just conjecture? :-)
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canegrl04
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#3 Postby canegrl04 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:08 am

If she hits that warm eddy,I would think so :eek:
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#4 Postby HurricaneGirl » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:13 am

:eek: OMG Holy Crap! :eek:
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#5 Postby btangy » Sun Aug 28, 2005 9:16 am

The potential intensities increase along Katrina's track still, so 150-165knots is not out of the question.

http://wxmaps.org/pix/hurpot.html

Ivan has right around its potential intensity last year much of the way through the Caribbean, so given almost ideal conditions (very little shear, moist environment, no abnormally shallow mixed layer depths along the track), the potential intensity can be considerred a good estimate of future intensity. I would bet against this happening with Katrina but again, I didn't think I'd wake up to a 140knot storm.
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