Katrina forecast #6: Category 5 with historical damage..

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
Josephine96

Katrina forecast #6: Category 5 with historical damage..

#1 Postby Josephine96 » Sun Aug 28, 2005 4:43 am

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
HURRICANE KATRINA
NJN WEATHER CENTER
550AM SUN AUG 28TH 2005

Hurricane Katrina continues to grow in size and in strength as she approaches Louisiana in the GOM. Her winds were 145 mph at 5am advisory.

Katrina is forecast to make landfall in far Eastern Louisiana.. This could easily also put the eye and the most dangerous conditions right over if not very near New Orleans. A mandatory evac order for the entire city of New Orleans should be issued soon.

Most of the city of New Orleans is below sea level.. so there will be catastrophic damage from this storm by both winds and rains as well as storm surge. It may take days, even weeks to clear out all the flood waters should Katrina not make a sharp jerk to the left or to the right very soon.

Intensity is also a problem. She is currently a 4.. with the potential of becoming a 5.. I will even go out and forecast her becoming a 5 and being 1 at landfall.

Anybody still on the coast or in New Orleans should have already left and if you choose to stay, you're probably putting yourself at a potential death sentence. That's how serious this storm is right now.

Here's my experimental 5 day forecast on Katrina.
Today: More strengthening. She's a textbook hurricane. Max winds: 155 mph
Monday: Making landfall and going directly over New Orleans. Max winds: 165 mph
Tuesday: Accelerating NW.. Weakening.. Max winds: 45 mph {depending on how fast she weakens}
Wednesday: A lot of rain for the Mid Atlantic. Max winds: 40 mph
Thursday: Well extratropical by now. Lots of rain up and down the eastern seaboard. Max winds: 35 mph
0 likes   

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: gib and 117 guests