New Model runs..More AGREEMENT!

[jimvb]

It looks like Katrina is headed for somewhere between New Orleans and Biloxi. That is what the models all seem to be saying. But did you notice? Look on the MM5 and the CMC plots. While Katrina is making it hard to recognize where southern MS and LA are, there is another object just off the Virginia and North Carolina coasts. It shows up as a mere circle on MM5, but on the CMC plot it is several concentric circles - a deepening low. Is that anything to be concerned about? First Miami, then New Orleans, then New York?

[djtil]

New Orleans and Biloxi

im starting to think that nola is the eastern extent.

[Stratosphere747]

Per the NHC's track, it should begin to show a gradual turn soon.

[swbamadude]

Is there a link that shows the Dynamic Models progged on a MAp...??? Please post Link .. Thanks

[swbamadude]

Does Anyone know a link for the Dynamic Model Pages .. to show where there progged on a MAp like here... THanks.......

[johngaltfla]

From the UKMet 12Z, intensifying rapidly near the coast.

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122005



VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY

-------------- -------- -------- --------

12UTC 27.08.2005 24.5N 84.4W STRONG

00UTC 28.08.2005 24.8N 85.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE

12UTC 28.08.2005 25.5N 87.9W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 29.08.2005 26.5N 89.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

12UTC 29.08.2005 28.5N 89.4W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

00UTC 30.08.2005 30.4N 89.0W INTENSE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY

12UTC 30.08.2005 33.1N 88.0W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY

00UTC 31.08.2005 35.6N 85.9W STRONG WEAKENING RAPIDLY

12UTC 31.08.2005 38.5N 82.4W STRONG WEAKENING RAPDILY

00UTC 01.09.2005 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

Poor souls. This is one of the worst case scenarios. The other two would be an intensifying Cat 4 hitting Tampa Bay or Miami head on.

Let's hope 2005 doesn't go 3 for 3....

[krysof]

or the NYC to New Jersey connecting right quadrant with a major hurricane

[artist]