Katrina forecast #4: Nightmare in New Orleans unfolding?

[Josephine96]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

EXPERIMENTAL HURRICANE FORECAST
HURRICANE KATRINA
NJN WEATHER CENTER
1115 PM FRI AUG 26TH 2005

Hurricane Katrina has begun to explode courtesy of the near 90 degree GOM waters this evening. This will cause Katrina to gain some major strength and make this monster of a hurricane a really frightening sight perhaps in a day or 2.

Katrina has used her GOM waters and a lack of any shear to allow herself to blow up considerably. This storm has the potential of being very strong. It could very well be at least a Category 4. It may even make a run at a 5.. but for whoevers' sake it tolls, lets hope not on the 5 route.

Katrina is continuing to move a little erratic, moving a little more southerly than north or due west. This could cause for her too make a much sharper turn when she begins her turn, but odds are.. when she does start her turn, it may be almost due north..

Katrina's NHC forecast is quite disturbing, She is forecast to come near if not directly over New Orleans. This would cause catastrophic damage with both winds and water.

All residents from West Florida all the way to Louisiana are urged to watch Katrina as she slowly treks. She has the potential of becoming a record breaking hurricane.

Here's my experimental 5 day forecast on Katrina:
Tonight: Continuing to grow. More strengthening. Max winds: 105 mph
Saturday: Starting to move more WNW, max winds. 120 mph
Sunday: Barreling down.. 1st landfall call for 2nd landfall. NEW ORLEANS. Max winds: 145 mph
Monday: Making landfall near point listed above, then accelerating inland. Max Winds: 150 mph
Tuesday: Near Nashville, weakening considerably. Max winds: 65 mph

[Ixolib]

Well, technically, landfall can't really occur at New Orleans since the city is not really on the coast... Unless somehow it sneaks through the Rigolets and comes in from the north on Lake Pontchartrain. Not being serious here, though, Josephine. Just a meager effort at calming the pre-storm jitters... Thanks for the forecast!

[wxmann_91]

Might want to make one suggestion Josephine, and that is that Katrina just won't be 65 mph at Nashville, I think it'll be a TD already at that time.

[Ixolib]

Speaking of jokes , that map is about 50 years out of date. Let me see if I can find you a link to what Louisiana looks like today:

This was in 2000. Remember, we lose a football field a day while the federal government basically ignores us.

[url]LA in 2000

And this is pretty much what 80% of south of the city looks like these days:



Steve

You're right, Steve - that is SIMPLY and utterly amazing. But, hey, Landrieu saved Naval Support Activity Algiers from the BRAC - Maybe she can get the "billons" needed for coastal restoration...

[Swimdude]

Yes, I do believe it will be weaker than 65 mph by Nashville, for sure. I'm also not 100% sure that Katrina will get THAT strong, but that's just speculation. We shall see.