Getting uncomfortable.....

[dixiebreeze]

This is getting a little too near the Tampa Bay area to be comfortable. Yes, I know all about westerly wobbles, etc., but the fact is, Katrina is mighty close to the West Coast of Florida:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/GMEX/IR4/20.jpg

[Eyes2theSkies]

and moving away from it

[Brent]

She's still moving WSW right now... I would be feeling better in your area and worse if I lived farther west.

[jax]

it is... but she is still heading west...

we will know a whole lot more tonight...

[dwg71]

Tampa will be impacted by Katrina, its just a matter of to what degree. The storm seems to be growing to the North.

[Myersgirl]

Dixie, I understand your concern, as we all witnessed last night, even a small deviation from the official forecast can ruin somebody's day!!!!

[Swimdude]

Remember y'all, there's the possibility of a Northeast turn... Katrina could easily double-back into Florida.

[tracyswfla]

Dixie, I understand your concern, as we all witnessed last night, even a small deviation from the official forecast can ruin somebody's day!!!!

Yes, what Dixie and Myers girl said!

[dixiebreeze]

Dixie, I understand your concern, as we all witnessed last night, even a small deviation from the official forecast can ruin somebody's day!!!!

It sure can, Myersgirl! And it hard to forget Charlies little sidetrip last year. Katrina looks like she's stretching to reach Tampa Bay.

And, as far as movement, she seems pretty stationary right now.

[bucman1]

I understand there is a possibility of a northeast turn but is it a

realistic one. Please explain -thanks

[wxcrazytwo]

Like I said in another thread, its girth has expanded..

[Stormcenter]

She's still moving WSW right now... I would be feeling better in your area and worse if I lived farther west.

You are 100% correct Brent.

[Myersgirl]

I learned a lesson from Charlie for which I was caught off guard. I think it is wise to calmly stay alert to the storms path

[jkt21787]

I wouldn't be too concerned. The trough of concern is still well NW back into the Plains and Rockies, and the ridge is holding tough evidenced by the WSW motion we are still seeing.

Brent is 100% right with his earlier statement.[/i]

[Brent]

This isn't Charley... it is clearly moving WSW and is pulling farther away from Tampa or whatever town on the West Coast... I think it's pretty obvious there won't be a direct hit there(eye passing within 50 miles to the west).

[leonardo]

I'd be pretty comfortable myself if I was in Tampa right now...however, if I lived anywhere from Pensacola to New Orleans, I'd be a little more concerned. The GFS, UKMET, NOGAPS, Euro, and GFDL all indicate coastal Mississippi or southeast Louisiana now.

And yes, I know it's three days out and the models will probably change. But still...the way the 12z globals have come together is a bit concerning.

[skysummit]

I would be getting less and less worried right now if I was in Tampa.

[gtalum]

I have to say, I'm in Sarasota, not too far from tampa, and I feel pretty safe for the moment. I reserve the right to change my opinion with no advance notice, however.

[wxcrazytwo]

well, this image seems to hug the florida coast pretty well..

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconus.html