Katrina a Cat 2 now!

[Blown]

[djtil]

and thats without closing off the north side of the eyewall....which she has had trouble with for a while now....

when/if that happens.....

[Blown]

When is she supposed to start making her Northern turn?

[mascpa]

100 mph sustained already??? 971 already??? Katrina is going to be a real big problem for somebody. Is there anything on the horizon which may inhibit the expected intensification?

[djtil]

Is there anything on the horizon which may inhibit the expected intensification?

the mythical/yet interesting last minute weakening of storms in the north central gulf right before landfall....

anything more concrete? no.

[EDR1222]

Is there anything on the horizon which may inhibit the expected intensification?

the mythical/yet interesting last minute weakening of storms in the north central gulf right before landfall....

anything more concrete? no.

It will definately be interesting to see if that occurs with Katrina.

[otowntiger]

Is there anything on the horizon which may inhibit the expected intensification?

the mythical/yet interesting last minute weakening of storms in the north central gulf right before landfall....

anything more concrete? no.

Ortt mentioned something about this in his latest forecast analysis. Apparently the sudden weakening of such systems hitting the north gulf coast is being attributed to low total heat content in the waters there, even though sst's are pretty high. I've come to understand that this type of weakening that we've seen in several storms is not an anamoly as much as it is common. There is some climatological factors at play here and I think more studies need to be done on that as well as TC intensity in general.

[AL Chili Pepper]

Is there anything on the horizon which may inhibit the expected intensification?

the mythical/yet interesting last minute weakening of storms in the north central gulf right before landfall....

anything more concrete? no.

Ortt mentioned something about this in his latest forecast analysis. Apparently the sudden weakening of such systems hitting the north gulf coast is being attributed to low total heat content in the waters there, even though sst's are pretty high. I've come to understand that this type of weakening that we've seen in several storms is not an anamoly as much as it is common. There is some climatological factors at play here and I think more studies need to be done on that as well as TC intensity in general.

Opal, Dennis, Lili, and other major hurricanes that have weakened while approaching the Northern Gulf Coast have occurred before or after the peak of the season (Ivan was an exception). Frederic and Camille, two majors that were strengthening when they crossed the coast, occurred in August and early September - prime time.

[Mattie]

Hurricane Betsy - August 27, 1965 - - - - - 40 years ago . . . .

Interesting track and info especially with Kat in the gulf and her track so far. . .


http://www.hurricanecity.com/betsy.htm