Looking so promising for us, this topic is now for forecasts and chat corresponding to Large front somewhere this month's topic. Anyway looking so severe to our eyes from the models, GFS have told us there going to be a super low pressure system forming off NE NSW coast and heading south to SE to NZL during next week which may bring us some damaging squalls around 100km/hr and floods, highland snow and possible coastal severe thunderstorms.
http://data.theweather.com.au/access/im ... lp.120.png
By that day would be the worst affecting which is the closest to the coast and POTENTIALLY dangerous between Fraser Island to Green Cape. If that low deepening under 990hpa, definitly going to be some high winds and widespread severe winds/or thunderstorms.
By GASP told us for 2nd low pressure may form off Fraser Island and doing to repeation to our coastal areas, that low pressure would be morely severe and particurly dangerous.
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts/tw ... lp&hour=-1
Look like for us next weekend! Anyway thats would be much more dangerous and high chance of rainfalls from both systems of course.
I going to say that is may include:
80% of severe characteristics
20% of coastal supercells
10% of severe mircobursts which may led major damage
90% of flooding chance
Dangerous twin low pressures/severe weather for EC AUSSIE!
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Yes we have, there is alot of RFB clouds with small thunderstorm located NW of here, anyway the jet stream had flow in with beauiful sunset structures!
So i had looked throught the forecasts and i assume that BOM and WZ forecasts are not predicting this rain event at all. Anyway i thinked that NE NSW and SE QLD would get worst affecting area of this low pressure system forming off our coast and there is forecastinf sites that really agreed each others!
http://www.weather.com.au/nsw/ballina
http://myforecast.com/bin/expanded_fore ... tric=false
Note: That site is still unpredictable in accurrency of thier forecasts symbols.
By LAPS MSLPS forecast charts, it shows a strong trough line off the coast which it would bring heavy rain and gales along the coastline.
By GFS forecast charts a little agreed that the low pressure will form NE NSW and SE QLD coasts by Wednesday and Thursday, as it seen to be more severe which it could bring high winds and widespread flooding in these days. I have a 50% chance to say the winds would be high and flash floodings too.
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts/tw ... lp&hour=-1
Looking very interesting for us anyway i hope it comes off! :shock:
And QLD BOM said:
IDQ1070002
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
The combination of the large high near New Zealand and a large high moving
slowly eastwards across the Great Australian Bight will continue to drive fresh
SE winds and a few showers onto most of the Queensland east coast until early
next week, and even further ahead along the north tropical coast.
A complex and high amplitude upper pattern will evolve over eastern Australia
over the first few days of next week, ensuring a lot of uncertainty in the
forecasts and resulting weather. Most of the uncertainty revolves around the
interaction between a strong upper trough over southeastern Australia, and a
second upper trough currently located over central eastern WA. This central
Australian trough will be the main feature to affect the weather over central
and southeastern Queensland in the coming few days, but its speed of eastward
progression and amplitude are both highly uncertain at present. However broadly
speaking, it is likely that this trough will spread cloudy conditions and some
patchy rain across most central areas and the southeast corner of the state,
with this weather most likely clearing the east coast sometime on Wednesday. The
possibility of some moderate falls with the progression of this cloudband
remains in place, although it appears less likely in the southeast corner.
These upper troughs will eventually affect the development of strong surface
pressure systems, and the most likely scenario is as follows. A surface low will
develop over the southwest Tasman Sea on Monday then move slowly eastwards with
a deep trough and possibly a secondary surface low developing off the southern
Queensland coast on Wednesday. The secondary low is likely to strengthen SE
winds and maintain showery conditions along the southern coast until at least
Friday.

So i had looked throught the forecasts and i assume that BOM and WZ forecasts are not predicting this rain event at all. Anyway i thinked that NE NSW and SE QLD would get worst affecting area of this low pressure system forming off our coast and there is forecastinf sites that really agreed each others!
http://www.weather.com.au/nsw/ballina
http://myforecast.com/bin/expanded_fore ... tric=false
Note: That site is still unpredictable in accurrency of thier forecasts symbols.
By LAPS MSLPS forecast charts, it shows a strong trough line off the coast which it would bring heavy rain and gales along the coastline.
By GFS forecast charts a little agreed that the low pressure will form NE NSW and SE QLD coasts by Wednesday and Thursday, as it seen to be more severe which it could bring high winds and widespread flooding in these days. I have a 50% chance to say the winds would be high and flash floodings too.
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/charts/tw ... lp&hour=-1
Looking very interesting for us anyway i hope it comes off! :shock:
And QLD BOM said:
IDQ1070002
EXTENDED OUTLOOK
The combination of the large high near New Zealand and a large high moving
slowly eastwards across the Great Australian Bight will continue to drive fresh
SE winds and a few showers onto most of the Queensland east coast until early
next week, and even further ahead along the north tropical coast.
A complex and high amplitude upper pattern will evolve over eastern Australia
over the first few days of next week, ensuring a lot of uncertainty in the
forecasts and resulting weather. Most of the uncertainty revolves around the
interaction between a strong upper trough over southeastern Australia, and a
second upper trough currently located over central eastern WA. This central
Australian trough will be the main feature to affect the weather over central
and southeastern Queensland in the coming few days, but its speed of eastward
progression and amplitude are both highly uncertain at present. However broadly
speaking, it is likely that this trough will spread cloudy conditions and some
patchy rain across most central areas and the southeast corner of the state,
with this weather most likely clearing the east coast sometime on Wednesday. The
possibility of some moderate falls with the progression of this cloudband
remains in place, although it appears less likely in the southeast corner.
These upper troughs will eventually affect the development of strong surface
pressure systems, and the most likely scenario is as follows. A surface low will
develop over the southwest Tasman Sea on Monday then move slowly eastwards with
a deep trough and possibly a secondary surface low developing off the southern
Queensland coast on Wednesday. The secondary low is likely to strengthen SE
winds and maintain showery conditions along the southern coast until at least
Friday.

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