Another X-Class flare underway!

[Jim Hughes]

An X5.4 flare peaked at 2106z....more updates later....The party continues.


Jim

[Aslkahuna]

X5.4/2B 990 sfu 10Flare. Nothing yet on Types II and IV sweeps or CME.
The Flare maxed at 2106Z while we were getting rained on. Total fade on the HF band for about 20-30 minuts and 41 nT crochet.

Steve

[senorpepr]

...and yet another X-flare...

Peak of X1.2 at 09/0300Z.

Wow... three X-flares within 36 hours.

[Jim Hughes]

...and yet another X-flare...

Peak of X1.2 at 09/0300Z.

Wow... three X-flares within 36 hours.

Make it four within about 40 hours....X3.6 at 09/0959z. Hard to believe when you consider what she released on the backside. It is my personal opinion this is related to some magnetic field strength changes in the intensity level of the sun's poles.

So we should be seeing the Wilcox Observatory come out in the upcoming weeks/months with some new 20 nhz low passed filtered numerical pole values. This is a 30 day average and I think the north pole may have finally started to strengthen. Either that or the south is weakenig also now.

This above normal activity will continue even when a new cycle starts ...solar minimum...as long as these pole vaues stay at this low level
This tells you that the mid latitude/low latitude magnetic field strength is strong....hence more complexed regions showing up occasionaly in the usual cyclical nature and than we see more major flaring.

If you look at the link below you can see that they are way to low for this time of the cycle and this is why all of this flaring is occurring.

The biggest flaring tends to occur during the waxing and waning of the polar strength and when the polar values come within approximately 3 digits of each other...filtered wise.

I have written about this many times in some e-mail discussions that I have sent out over the years. This heightened activity level so far away from solar maximum just gives it more credence in my opinion.

http://soi.stanford.edu/~wso/Polar.ascii



Jim