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Noreaster 4/15-16 2007

Posted: Sat Apr 14, 2007 7:22 pm
by Category 5
Post your thoughts. Or if you're in it's path (raises hand) post conditions here.

25 foot seas and tides 7 feet above normal forecasted along the Jersey shore.

Right now here, it's overcast, about 53 degrees, pressure at 1011mb. The wind is absolutely still.

Posted: Sat Apr 14, 2007 8:55 pm
by Category 5
Started raining about 20 minutes ago.

Posted: Sat Apr 14, 2007 11:24 pm
by Category 5
12:23am

Light Rain
47 degrees
Winds: Calm gusting to 1mph
Pressure: 1010mb

Posted: Sat Apr 14, 2007 11:52 pm
by angelwing
Currently:
46° (Wind Chill 42°) Dewpoint: 39° Wind: SE 6 MPH
Humidity: 77% Pressure: 29.96 in Hg

light rain 12:50 am

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 7:09 am
by Hybridstorm_November2001
Nothing here yet, but these are the warning already posted in Eastern Maine, nothing posted in Western NB yet:

Winter Weather Advisory

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
426 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...POWERFUL LATE SEASON STORM TO AFFECT THE REGION TONIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY...

.LOW PRESSURE OVER THE TENNESSEE VALLEY WILL LIFT NORTHEAST
REACHING THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL
RAPIDLY INTENSIFY INTO A POWERFUL LATE SEASON STORM AS IT MOVES
OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST SUNDAY AND REACHES SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND
TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING SOME WET SNOW AND RAIN TO MUCH OF
THE REGION WITH LOCALLY HEAVY WET SNOW EXPECTED ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF WESTERN MAINE.

MEZ002-005-006-151645-
/O.UPG.KCAR.WS.A.0008.070416T0600Z-070417T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.WW.Y.0010.070416T0600Z-070417T0000Z/
NORTHEAST AROOSTOOK-NORTHERN PENOBSCOT-SOUTHEAST AROOSTOOK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PRESQUE ISLE...CARIBOU...VAN BUREN...
MARS HILL...MILLINOCKET...EAST MILLINOCKET...PATTEN...MEDWAY...
HOULTON...HODGDON...SHERMAN...SMYRNA MILLS
426 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CARIBOU HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 AM TO 8 PM EDT
MONDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

RAIN AND SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE ADVISORY AREA TONIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY. SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM AN
INCH OR TWO UP TO 7 INCHES WITH THESE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OCCURRING
OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

THIS STORM WILL HAVE A LOW IMPACT ON THE ADVISORY AREA. A
COMBINATION OF SNOW AND RAIN WILL LEAD TO SOME MINOR TRAVEL
DIFFICULTIES. VISIBILITY WILL OCCASIONALLY BE LIMITED TO LESS THAN
ONE MILE IN SNOW. MOTORISTS AND PEDESTRIANS SHOULD BE CAUTIOUS AS
UNTREATED ROADS AND SIDEWALKS WILL LIKELY HAVE A THIN COATING OF
SNOW AND WILL BE SLIPPERY.

PLEASE REPORT SNOW, SLEET, OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. STAY TUNED
TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...YOUR LOCAL MEDIA...OR GO TO
http://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/CAR FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WEATHER
SITUATION.

$$


Source: http://www.erh.noaa.gov/showsigwx.php?w ... r+Advisory

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 7:11 am
by Hybridstorm_November2001
SW Nova Scotia Warnings:

Environment Canada's Official Weather Warnings
Warnings
Yarmouth County
4:31 AM ADT Sunday 15 April 2007
Wind warning for
Yarmouth County issued

Easterly winds gusting near 60 mph/100 km/h are forecast for Monday afternoon.

This is a warning that potentially damaging winds are expected in these regions. Monitor weather conditions..Listen for updated statements.

A low pressure system approaching from the southwest will spread easterly winds with gusts up to 50 mph/90 km/h except 70 mph/110 km/h along portions of the Atlantic coast into the above mentioned regions on Monday afternoon.

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 8:51 am
by Tstormwatcher
Its almost 10:00 am. Conditions:

Temp: 66.6*
Barometric pressure: 995 mb
Conditions: Very heavy rain
Winds: 15 to 20mph gusts up to 35mph

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 9:17 am
by Stephanie
We're currently under a Flood Warning - this includes you Cat 5;

Flood Warning
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
847 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

NJC001-005-007-009-011-015-023-025-027-029-033-035-160045-
847 AM EDT SUN APR 15 2007

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
MONMOUTH COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...
MIDDLESEX COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...PERTH AMBOY...NEW BRUNSWICK...
MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
SOMERSET COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...
ATLANTIC COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
CAMDEN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
CAPE MAY COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF VINELAND...
GLOUCESTER COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...
SALEM COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 845 PM EDT SUNDAY

* AT 840 AM EDT DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LARGE AREA OF HEAVY RAIN
ALREADY OVER THE REGION WITH MORE HEAVY RAIN POISED TO MOVE
ACROSS. STORM TOTALS HAVE ALREADY REACHED BETWEEN 1 AND 2
INCHES ACROSS THE REGION WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES LIKELY THE REST OF TODAY.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN
REPORTED. EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING
OF SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES.
ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF
CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.



It's been pouring since I've been up at 7:30. I saw videos out of Ventnor, NJ of the surf - pretty nasty! :eek:

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 10:23 am
by Aquawind
Yeow! Ugly forecast alrighty..

[web]http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/progs/index.php?prog=36[/web]

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 10:27 am
by goodgal996
Sunderland, MA
11:30am

Moderate snow
33.2 degrees
no wind
1008mb pressure

Snow is just starting to accumulate on grass and cars, road and driveway are wet.

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 10:35 am
by Aquawind
goodgal996 wrote:Sunderland, MA
11:30am

Moderate snow
33.2 degrees
no wind
1008mb pressure

Snow is just starting to accumulate on grass and cars, road and driveway are wet.


Brutal forecast.. Snow-- Heavy Rain-- Snow-- Rain for the next few days..

http://www.erh.noaa.gov/forecast/MapCli ... A&site=BOX

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 11:12 am
by Tstormwatcher
It is now 12:10 pm and the rain has ended for now. Winds are down to around 10 to 15 mph and temp has jumped up to 70*. Pressure is down to 993mb.
We had 3.70 inches of rain today so far. Ditches are full, yard is flooded. All of this after 5 weeks of only .32 inches of rain.

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 11:28 am
by angelwing
The creek behind me is creeping thru the first floor of the apts behind me :eek:

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 11:42 am
by Tstormwatcher
Pressure continues to drop. 992mb, temp up to 72, winds from south gusting agin up to 40mph. Line of storms heading this way acccording to radar.

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 11:55 am
by baygirl_1
Anyone here from Long Island? We have a cousin in Babylon. It seems to be inland (though I've never been there), so flooding shouldn't be an issue. Just wondering how things are there.

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 12:20 pm
by Category 5
We're under a flood warning now, we've had over an inch of rain and it's still falling steady.

Streams and Creeks are rising

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 12:25 pm
by Tstormwatcher
Pressure has dropped to 990mb as of 1:25pm

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 12:26 pm
by Category 5
Tstormwatcher wrote:Pressure has dropped to 990mb as of 1:25pm


Same, 990mb and falling

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 12:33 pm
by MiamiensisWx
Based on lower pressure reports of 989 mbar to the east of the estimated current location of the surface low (south-central NC), it's possible the actual low center might be reforming further east. The deepening rate of the system is impressive.

Image

Image

Posted: Sun Apr 15, 2007 12:39 pm
by Hybridstorm_November2001
Calm before the storm here currently:

1:00 PM EDT/2:00 PM ADT

Sky: Cloudy

Temp 43 F/6 C

Pressure: 1020 mb, past trend slowly rising

Visibility: 20 miles/25 km (max for this location)

Dewpoint: 22 F/-5 C

Wind: East 10 mph/15 km/h