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Severe Weather: January 7, 2007 - Map added

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 2:38 pm
by SamSagnella
A large tornado watch (WT 10) has been issued, extending from Lake Ponchartrain, LA to the northeastern-most county in Alabama. A SW-NE oriented line of thunderstorms is currently entering the central counties of Alabama, and visible satellite shows an area of clearing ahead of this feature. Surface analysis shows temperatures in the upper 60s/lower 70s and dewpoints in the mid to upper 60s across the srn 2/3 of Alabama. With clearing skies ahead of the squall line and increasing destabilization across the area, sfc CAPEs should reach at least 1000 j/Kg by mid-afternoon. Though the thermodynamic profile leaves something to be desired, there is strong shear in place and conditions do appear favorable for at least a few tornadoes -- especially if any discrete cells can develop ahead of the main line.

EDIT: edited to change title 8pm ET mon

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 2:44 pm
by JonathanBelles
again? is this going to be as bas as the first event?

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 4:17 pm
by SamSagnella
Tornado warning now in effect for the Montgomery, AL metro area until 345 local time. TOR associated with discrete cell ahead of main line, 'cleaner' inflow available with enhanced SRH ...tornado very possible in an around the city.

Also, new tornado watch in effect for GA.

Tornado warning extended NE from Montgomery County into Elmore County as of 320 CT.

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 4:27 pm
by SamSagnella
BWER becoming visible on the Elmore County cell...imminent tornado threat for the towns of Willow Springs and Bingham... should pass east of the county seat of Wetumpka.

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Edit: The public reported a tornado in the Sheraton Heights Apt Complex very near Montgomery as the cell passed thru -- not at all surprised by this. The town of Eclectic (pop. 1100) is in the immediate path.

Volatile situation for areas already reeling from severe weather earlier this week...

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 5:01 pm
by SamSagnella
Tornado warning for the Elmore County cell now extended NEwd into southern Tallapoossa County, which will likely affect the Dadeville (pop. 3100) area within the next 15 min.

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Luckily, it appears that the southern part of the Tallapoosa County area is sparsely populated.
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Also, separate cell now tornado warned in the NErn part of the state in Clay County near the Lineville area (pop 2400).

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 5:22 pm
by ncupsscweather
We are really getting off to a bad start for the New Year.... Damn killer Snowstorms in the West and Killer Tornado's in the East...

But looks like it is going to be worse before it gets better. hope everyone stays safe.

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 5:38 pm
by SamSagnella
This supercell remains very dangerous as it passes through Chambers County near the Lafayette area; according to the latest SVS "STORM SPOTTERS HAVE CONFIRMED A TORNADIC STORM," which I'm assuming means either a rotating wall cloud or something of that nature is present.

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 6:15 pm
by Opal storm
That squall line is now coming into the NW FL area but it looks like the severe wx will stay north of me.

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 6:20 pm
by SamSagnella
Wow...I must say I am very impressed with the supercell that initiated in Mongomery County about two hours ago, and is still going strong, now crossing the state line into Troup County Georgia. I aven't heard of any confirmed reports of tornadoes from trained spotters, but I'd be shocked if it hasn't been producing intermittant tornadoes across much of its lifetime, especially near the tiny town of Five Points, AL, which was extremely close to the most dangerous part of the storm. That being said, this storm luckily seemed to traverse mostly rural areas of eastern Alabama but unfortunately this trend will start to wind down as it moves in the general direction of Atlanta. Also it is worth noting that this cell will likely affect portions of Coweta County, which was affected by two tornadoes just two days ago. See thread: confirmed tornadoes of the Jan 4/5 event.

Image

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 7:10 pm
by Bunkertor
Does it pull towards Atlanta ?

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 7:24 pm
by Lindaloo
Looks to be heading to Atlanta. I just called my sister who lives in Roswell, just north of Atlanta and told her to be prepared.

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 7:40 pm
by Brent
Looks like it's through most of Atlanta, now in the eastern suburbs. Worst weather has been south of town. Possible tornado in Coweta County.

The tornadic storm that started in Montgomery passed about 5-10 miles south of here. Wasn't bad at all in this location.

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 8:05 pm
by SamSagnella
Uh oh... reports are coming in that the damage in Coweta County Georgia is significant and there are several injuries according to CNN; as I mentioned earlier, this is the same area that was hit by two separate tornadoes just two days ago.

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 8:37 pm
by JonathanBelles
so far i have heard of 3 tornadoes, 1 in coweta, georgia posibly F1 of F2

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 8:40 pm
by JonathanBelles
BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 736 PM CST SUN JAN 7 2007 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... NORTHEARN DALE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA * UNTIL 800 PM CST

* AT 734 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A DEVELOPING TORNADO NEAR MARLEY HILL...OR ABOUT NEAR OZARK...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR... ARGUTA...SKIPPERVILLE AND PHILLIPS CROSSROADS BY 750 PM CST... DYKES CROSSROADS AND ROBERTS CROSSROADS BY 755 PM CST...

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 9:32 pm
by Lindaloo
fact789 wrote:so far i have heard of 3 tornadoes, 1 in coweta, georgia posibly F1 of F2


Coweta County is Newnan, GA.

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 9:43 pm
by SamSagnella
From what I can piece together from the LSR regarding the Coweta County damage,
it is along a roughly two mile long path extending in a southwest-to-northeast direction.
Although the damage report begins at Blalock Lake and ends at Earl North Road,
the damage has yet to be surveyed and the actual path may be significantly longer.

Please Note:
This map is approximate, please refer to NWS statements and documents for official information
regarding this event. Also, for reference, Newnan is ~5 miles from the end of the path as shown.
Image

Posted: Sun Jan 07, 2007 10:11 pm
by SamSagnella
Wow...I just was mapping the locations of tonights probable tornado damage and compared that to the location of the F1 tornado Friday Morning: 3.3 miles away....yikes.

Posted: Mon Jan 08, 2007 3:09 pm
by CrazyC83
000
NOUS44 KBMX 082002
PNSBMX
...F1 TORNADO DAMAGE IN BARBOUR COUNTY...ALABAMA...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS SURVEYED STORM DAMAGE
IN BARBOUR COUNTY TODAY. THE DAMAGE OCCURRED DURING THE EVENING
HOURS ON SUNDAY JANUARY 7...2007.

AT APPROXIMATELY 829 PM...AN F1 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN IN SOUTHEAST
BARBOUR COUNTY SOUTH OF EUFAULA. THE DAMAGE PATH WAS 2.5 MILES IN
LENGTH AND 200 YARDS WIDE. APPROXIMATELY 200 TO 300 TREES WERE
UPROOTED OR HAD THE TOPS RIPPED OFF. WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 TO
105 MPH.

$$

KSL

Posted: Mon Jan 08, 2007 4:03 pm
by SamSagnella
Coweta County tornado has been assigned a preliminary rating of F2 on the Fujita Scale, with a 4.1-mile long and 250-yard wide path.