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				Question...
				Posted: Sat May 13, 2006 3:56 pm
				by cheezyWXguy
				If this verified(not that I belive it would) would it mean a huge severe weather outbreak over NTX?
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _312.shtml 
			
					
				
				Posted: Sat May 13, 2006 4:25 pm
				by 6SpeedTA95
				Why do you think it would?  I dont see how that would result in a major outbreak.  There's way too many other variebles no on that chart.  Furthermore as you said 312 hours out?  EEK we can't even get svr weather right 1 day out muchless 15.  

 
			
					
				
				Posted: Sat May 13, 2006 4:32 pm
				by cheezyWXguy
				lol...ya...one thing ive noticed in the past is that when a forecast involves a large severe weather outbreak those reds pop up on the qpf amnts...another reason why I asked that is because I noticed it didnt have any strong upper level winds shown in the 200mb winds panel so I was wondering" why would it be like that if there was no upper level shear or anything...also Im aware that its 312 hrs out thats why i put "(not that i belive it would)" up there
			 
			
					
				
				Posted: Sat May 13, 2006 5:27 pm
				by wxmann_91
				It's the 312 hr GFS. Even if it was at a closer time interval, large amounts of QPF does not necessarily mean an outbreak.