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Moisture from Hurricane Emily?
Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 4:03 pm
by azsnowman
Could we POSSIBLY get some moisture from Emily? God let's HOPE so!
Dennis
Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 4:05 pm
by azsnowman
Well DUH Dennis, read the AFD FIRST "LOL!"
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz
GFS ADVERTISING DEEP MOISTURE DURING THE LATE PORTIONS OF THIS WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND...COURTESY OF HURRICANE EMILY. WILL HAVE TO SEE HOW THIS ALL PLAYS OUT. FOR NOW...WILL BUMP UP AFOREMENTIONED POPS. CK
Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:04 pm
by angelwing
Wish I could send you the T-storms we're having, this is the 5th one in 3 hours!!!
Posted: Sun Jul 17, 2005 5:17 pm
by Aslkahuna
It's possible but we will have to wait and see if it's likely or not. The GFS is very interesting is how it handles the remnants and moisture and based on that we could expect good rains. However, none of the models and
especially the GFS handles these patterns well.
Steve
Posted: Mon Jul 18, 2005 1:01 am
by Hurricaneman
Could be possible
Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2005 6:59 am
by azsnowman
Keep your fingers crossed that the moisture WILL make it up here..........we have NOT had ANY RAIN just yet, only lightning and the USUAL WIND!! So far for 2005, we've had 18 DAYS "without wind!" 18 DAYS, that's IT!!
Now....this AFD sounds interesting, not holding my breath just yet however.
http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/fgz
THE REMNANTS OF EMILY WILL TRAVERSE NORTHERN MEXICO AS AN EASTERLY WAVE LATER THIS WEEK...POSSIBLY SENDING AN ADDITIONAL SURGE OF MOISTURE INTO ARIZONA. WITH DEEPER MOISTURE ALREADY TO OUR SOUTH OVER THE PHX/TWC AREAS...AND THESE FACTORS COMING TOGETHER IN A FEW DAYS...WE WILL MOST LIKELY BE A FULLY DEVELOPED MONSOON PATTERN BY FRIDAY OR SATURDAY. WE HAVE RE-TOOLED POPS TO DEPICT A NORTHEASTERLY STEERING FLOW EVOLVING INTO A SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH POPS REALLY INCREASING AND SPREADING NORTH AND WEST LATER IN THE WEEK. HOT DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...BUT WILL BEGIN TO DROP AS CLOUD COVER AND MOISTURE INCREASES LATER IN THE WEEK. PETERSON.
Posted: Tue Jul 19, 2005 7:35 am
by azskyman
The pre-Emily humidity has picked up. Thunderstorms just east of us last night brought a true "haboob" to the area with blinding dust and howling winds followed by thunder...but no rain here as yet.
Clearly the humidity is in place as overnight lows hover just below 90...something more common in the humid part of our season.
Let's keep our fingers crossed for "beneficial" rains, not torrential ones.