STORM2K

Saturday looks like a real break-or-bust kind of day for NE Kansas/SE Nebraska; strong cap (that NAM erodes by 0Z), fairly strong instability, tons of shear. SFC low detaching from trough and sitting in central Kansas; not sure if it's trying to render up an attached warm front in E KS or not. NAM breaks precip out in NE KS and SE NE at 0Z, so my hopes are up. It would be interesting to try chasing NW flow storms for a change.

Winds, 850 on up are turnin' like mad (bulk shear of around 50kts), with a good LLJ and a shortwave showing up on the 500 and 700. Hell, there's even some diffluence in the 250 right along the NE KS/SE NE border.

TD's nearing 70-75, if the NAM is to be trusted. And the juice goes all the way up to 500mb.

This looks like a pretty awesome-sauce kind of day. Hey, if nothing happens, at least I'll get to explore another side of Kansas. I've seen enough of the west in the past month.

Just keep it away from KC, eh?

--snoopj

Windy,

The only concern for Saturday in that region from my perspective is the capping inversion is going to be really strong. We are going to need a very diurnally heated low level environment with the Convective temps being around 83-86 or so most likely. I do think things will break as the impressive shear jets nose in with the s/w axis. Happy tornado hunting.