STORM2K

Here are the severe weather threat areas for today...April 15, 2003!

A potential damaging wind event is possible this afternoon/tonight...

I'm in the Slight Territory! Oh yea!!!

LOL. First time this year Shannon?

no, I always get excited when severe weather season approaches

It's about time some more potentially severe weather is coming. We have been in a lull the past few days.

I agree Tom. It has been a few days since we have had some storms.

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0462
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0358 PM CDT TUE APR 15 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...AR SD...SRN MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 152058Z - 152330Z

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY EARLY EVENING. LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE LIKELY. AREA WILL BE MONITORED
FOR POSSIBLE WW DURING THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAKENING CAP OVER SERN SD INTO
SRN MN...WITH LESS THAN 150 J/KG OF 100 MB MLCIN. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG WARM FRONT WHERE AN INCREASING LOW
LEVEL JET WILL HELP LIFT INCREASING MOISTURE. 18Z RUC DEVELOPS
PRECIPITATION IN THESE AREAS NEAR 00Z...FROM SERN SD INTO SRN MN.
MDT INSTABILITY...STEEP LAPSE RATES AND PERSISTENT FORCING WILL
FAVOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.