MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0871
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0332 PM CDT MON MAY 24 2004
AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX...WRN OK
CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL
VALID 242032Z - 242230Z
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT 1-2
HOURS. SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WOULD THEN
OCCUR AND A WW APPEARS LIKELY.
LATEST VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS TCU FROM SW OF CDS TO CSM. CAP HAS
ERODED AND A CONTINUED SLY FLOW OF MOISTURE WITH RETREATING DRYLINE
AND HEATING WILL ALLOW FOR STORM FORMATION. SHEAR PROFILES ARE VERY
FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS PER AREA PROFILERS. MAIN THREATS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. HIGH BASES OF STORMS INDICATE LOW
TORNADO THREAT...UNLESS STORMS MAKE IT FURTHER E INTO HIGHER
DEWPOINTS.
..JEWELL.. 05/24/2004
ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...