Can you say.... UH OH!!!! YOU SVR WTHR BUFFS... A MUST READ!

[yoda]

This is from WeatherAmerica Discussion from this morning.... I believe Larry Cosgrove wrote it...

MEDIUM RANGE OUTLOOK
(weather trends through the next 6 to 10 days)


This is a "no rest for the weary" scenario! The area of low pressure moving
into S QC and ME on Wednesday will be trailed by a mesolow at the triple point
(where the occluded, warm, and cold fronts come together), and the unusually
buoyant mT regime advancing into New England and Mid-Atlantic states could
provide the proverbial "fuel" for the "fire" of thunderstorms. Unlike the low now
pushing out of the Upper Midwest, the Day 3/4 threat will have ample cold
advection to work with, in addition to the increase in surface convergence
provided by the frontal wave. So the Interstate 95 corridor from New Haven CT to St.
Petersburg VA faces perhaps its greatest potential for tornadoes, large hail,
and microbursts so far this spring.
The GGEM and ECMWF versions are sending a very frightening message to the
Great Plains and Midwest during the 144-192 hour time frame. Something like, "you
ain't seen nothing yet!" The very impressive hybrid-type, full-latitude storm
complex is concurrent with a FL/GA heat ridge, which is the perfect setup to
get an mP/cT/mT convergence zone across "Tornado Alley". Although it is an
early call, the Canadian and European schemes are pointing to a very turbulent
Memorial Day weekend over an area composed of N
TX....OK....KS....NE....IA....MO....AR....N LA....NW MS....W, C TN....KY....IL....S Lower
MI....OH....WV....VA....DC....MD....DE....NJ....S NY....PA.
Stay tuned!

[AirmaN]

Can anyone say... "The Day After Tomorrow" ???

[simplykristi]

Does this mean those of us in the KC area should be on the look out for possible stormy weather over the Memorial Day weekend?

Kristi

[Guest]

It would be a good idea, Kristi!

[Derecho]

Can anyone say... "The Day After Tomorrow" ???

No, but I can say "A normal May in the United States, like thousands of Mays before it."

Also, Cosgrove has a history of massively overhyping severe outbreaks.

[Aslkahuna]

next weekend, the GFS progs some impressive H5 winds across AZ (around 70kt-yesterday wasn't as strong) which besides bringing a good severe setup to the Alley is also going to unleash some nasty winds upon us which is not good from a standpoint of the fire situation.

Steve

[Stephanie]

that's the last thing you need Steve!

Looks like I'll be having a rockin' Memorial Day weekend in more ways than one!!