STORM2K

Well today was definately one of the bigger busts of the year. SPC mientioned significant tornadoes in the 0600z outlooks and there were none across the region. Reasoning?? Models underforecast 700mb temps and SFC cloudcover that would hamper instability in the region. It seems that the WAA/Moist advection just wouldnt stop. It capped the environment badly and didn't really give anyone a chance to destabalize. Cool pool developed in NW IA and caused the few scattered supercells that caused the large hail. Nice job to Evans/Crosbie at SPC for putting a hamper on the 1800z outlook and downgrading. Nice call...

Definitely a good call at the noon update. I knew nothing would develop like they predicted in earlier forecasts. The fog was slow to break, and though I saw a couple of breaks for some hope, they were very short in duration.

Yes, the noon update was done well yesterday. I thought for sure that the cap would still be broken a little farther South and West than it was though.

Darn that cap! Glad I didn't waste my time....today is a different story!

StormCrazyIowan wrote:Darn that cap! Glad I didn't waste my time....today is a different story!

Yeah, but the upper-level dynamics are not as impressive as yesterday, though I fully expect some severe storms (if in fact they develop).

RIght now at 113pm I am seeing some sun. WHere was this yesterday???

My area is looking mighty fine.....well, in text!

That sun could have changed everything eh?

StormCrazyIowan wrote:My area is looking mighty fine.....well, in text!

That sun could have changed everything eh?

Let's put it this way, if we had the sun yesterday, I would be weather warninged out, tone-alerted out, never want to hear another tone alert again, etc.