We were down to 30% chance of rain for awhile and now this is what's predicted
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
430 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004
LAZ028-029-032-033-043>045-052>055-171100-
ACADIA-AVOYELLES-EVANGELINE-IBERIA-LAFAYETTE-LOWER ST MARTIN-RAPIDES-
ST LANDRY-ST MARY-UPPER ST MARTIN-VERMILION-
430 AM CDT SUN MAY 16 2004
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THE COOL FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA WILL SLOWLY MOVE NORTHWEST
AS HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST BUILDS WEST. BY THIS AFTERNOON...THE
FIRST OF MANY EXPECTED UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL APPROACH THE
AREA. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASED INSTABILITY ALOFT...AND THE GROUND
THAT HAS HAD 10 TO 20 INCHES OF RAIN FROM LAST WEEK...WILL LEAD TO
NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL WILL VARY
GREATLY OVER THE AREA...BUT THE POSSIBILITY EXISTS OF EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL OVER TWO INCHES AT ANY GIVEN LOCATION...WHICH WILL LEAD TO
ADDITIONAL FLOODING. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL RUNOFF INTO SWOLLEN
STREAMS AND RIVERS...DITCHES AND ACROSS ROADWAYS. THEREFORE...THE
FLOOD WATCH IS REISSUED FOR TODAY.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...
THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL HAVE MOVED ACROSS CENTRAL AND EAST
TEXAS BY MONDAY...PLACING MOST OF SE TX AND ALL OF LOUISIANA UNDER
A MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS SUPPORT NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...WITH DOWNBURST DAMAGING WINDS A
POSSIBILITY UPON INITIAL DEVELOPMENT. ONCE DEVELOPED...ADDITIONAL
FLOODING WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN AS THESE MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE
COMPLEXES GROW IN SIZE BY LATE MONDAY EVENING.