STORM2K

Some of the ones in NW OK don't appear to moving much at all, either ...

VNX Radar Loop

Looks like there will be some impressive damage with this "spinning cells" in Oklahoma.

As of 9:30 pm EDT, the SE'rn most supercell in the TLX radar view has the V-Notch signature...

Looks like a massive tornado outbreak is on the way

Actually, there hasn't been a tornado warning anywhere in the country for 1 1/2 hours.

By any reasonable standard, this is yet another "Particularly Dangerous Sitution" watch box bust....almost no tornadoes at all. Not a good week for SPC.

Even if the watch boxes lead to nothing.. Those storms still look downright hellish if you ask me..

Hope everyone has stayed safe and continues to do so... I actually have a friend who lives just outside OKC.. Surprisingly.. she hasn't mentioned anything about the twisters

Derecho wrote:Actually, there hasn't been a tornado warning anywhere in the country for 1 1/2 hours.

By any reasonable standard, this is yet another "Particularly Dangerous Sitution" watch box bust....almost no tornadoes at all. Not a good week for SPC.

Tuesday and Wednesday... one extreme to the other with the issuances of severe weather data.

Nothing happened in their last PDS box, which was sometime last week, either.

It's really, really, really hard to forecast severe down to the details, I'm not giving them a hard time or bashing them...

But they've clearly had a bad stretch here, missing some key aspect every day (not like anyone else seems to be doing better, however.)

One of the later mesoscale discussions mentioned a lack of low-level winds in OK....that may have been it.

Will be interesting to see a writeup on the IL outbreak yesterday to see what went wrong with the NWS forecasting there.

Wonder if they'll yo-yo back to downplaying expectations for tomorrow.

Test

Derecho wrote:Actually, there hasn't been a tornado warning anywhere in the country for 1 1/2 hours.

By any reasonable standard, this is yet another "Particularly Dangerous Sitution" watch box bust....almost no tornadoes at all. Not a good week for SPC.

Sad, but true.

Here it is 11:30P EDT, the last TOR was 8:52P [7:52 CDT].
Tues was bad...a total bust in a PDS box is the next day *really* is bad.
Parameters and RUC look good but it isn't there.

Also surprised by the scope of MOD for Thurs...huge area to prog 18+ hours out. The slight risk IMO is overdone from Mid-Atlantic through NJ. Think any SVR will be tough to come by here on Thursday, but we'll see. Wonder if SPC reels that in overnight.

Look at the eastern boundary of this slight risk area in of today's outlooks!

My disagreement with SPC (like they care ) is with Thursday.
Don't think much svr gets into Virginias up into NJ.

Scott,

I did see a series of photos on USENET (the rec.sport.football.college newsgroup) of a funnel cloud passing directly over the center of OKC.

It was very much an ALMOST day in that PDS box.

WED APR 21 2004

Severe thunderstorms tore through Enid late Wednesday night, snapping power poles along Garland and tearing portions of roofs off several businesses on the west side of the city.
More than 3,000 OG&E Electric Ser-vice customers were without power in Enid after the storm blew through around 11 p.m. OG&E also reported 189 customers without power in Lahoma during the evening, as well as hundreds of other customers without electricity throughout northwest Oklahoma.
“On Garland we’ve got a bunch of poles snapped and lines down,” said Bruce Johnson, an inspector with Enid Fire Department. “We’ve got transformers down all over the place.”
Johnson said some poles had fallen on homes, but no one was trapped. “Not yet that we know of,” Johnson said around 11:20 p.m., about 20 minutes after the storm moved through Enid.
Firefighters were going door to door in the Garland Park housing addition to see if any people were trapped or injured.
Homeland on West Garriott lost part of its roof. Assistant Manager Cheryl Wright said employees who had inspected the damage said “it looked like an explosion.”
Damage extended from the southwest corner of the roof to the middle, Wright said, and “water is just pouring in.”
The gas was shut off after employees smelled gas, she said.
“Everybody’s OK,” she said.
“Sounds like a good section of the west side of town is out of power,” Enid Police Sgt. Jeff McGehee said at around 11:30 p.m.
He said there were a lot of power lines down on the west side of town.
He said businesses along West Garriott were reporting roof damage, including Homeland and Stevens Ford. He said he knew other businesses were reporting damage, but he had not received all of the reports.
“I don’t know what the wind speed was here, but I know it was high. It was kind of shakin’ some of the vehicles out here (at police headquarters, 301 W. Garriott).”
A spokesman at Vance Air Force Base’s weather center reported winds up to 70 mph in Lahoma and Drummond. The wind topped out at 68 mph at Vance.
Authorities said there were several streets in Enid flooded and portions of Oklahoma 74 was under water.


-justin-