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"This AIN'T GOOD folks!"

Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2004 6:00 am
by azsnowman
Well, here we go....let's HOPE like HADES that some NIMROD doesn't toss a cigarette butt out the car window or anything else that's STUPID! :grr:

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-BLACK MESA AREA-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
910 PM MST TUE APR 20 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...EASTERN COCONINO...
AND NAVAJO COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT WEDNESDAY FROM NOON MST UNTIL 700
PM MST (100 PM MDT TO 800 PM MDT) FOR MUCH OF EAST CENTRAL AND
NORTHEAST ARIZONA BELOW 7000 FEET...

AN APPROACHING STORM SYSTEM WILL CAUSE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE
TO 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR 35 MPH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES TO CREATE HAZARDOUS FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS. SEE PHXRFWFGZ OR WWUS85 KFGZ FOR THE LATEST
DETAILS.

FOR THURSDAY...A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHERN
ARIZONA. RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT.



Dennis :eek:

Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2004 6:30 am
by pawlee
we still have red flag concerns here in Central IL despite the passing front having dropped minimal precip. this namely in S IL. p

Actually

Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2004 3:44 pm
by Aslkahuna
looking at the progged winds for tomorrow, we are looking at a day much like Saturday for your area. I am going for 20-30mph with locally higher gusts down here and the airmass trajectory is not a moist one-this system will be another one to beat up on the Plains and midwest when it gets out there.

Steve

Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2004 3:48 pm
by PTrackerLA
I'm surprised to the see the fire season starting already after all the rain y'all have out there so far this spring. I hope nothing serious develops.

Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2004 7:17 pm
by azsnowman
PTrackerLA wrote:I'm surprised to the see the fire season starting already after all the rain y'all have out there so far this spring. I hope nothing serious develops.


That's the thing with Az, now matter HOW much precip we receive, the "Hurricane Force Spring Winds" we receive, wipes it out in a matter of a few weeks.......and they call Chicago "The Windy City!" "Phhhft!" Chicago ain't got NUTHIN' on the Windy White Mountains of Az. :P

Dennis :roll:

Yep

Posted: Wed Apr 21, 2004 7:22 pm
by Aslkahuna
when the air becomes drier than Lizard Lips with humidity values lower than a snake's belly and the wind blows at 40-60 mph things dry out fast. Looking at H5 wind of 50-60kt tomorrow and I'm going for local gusts to 45mph down here. Pinetop, if I recall correctly is just east of the crest of the Rim which means that you could get a downslope component to uptick your winds. At any rate it's going to be a tad on the windy side to be sure.

Steve