POTENT SUPER CELLS ON SUNDAY!!!
Posted: Fri Apr 16, 2004 2:33 pm
After looking at this morning's eta, this system looks extremely dynamic. I think the potential exists for strong & long-lived tornadoes across southern MN into Western Wisconsin during Sunday afternoon-evening.
A literal interpretation of eta depicts a scary picture across SW into East-Central MN: a strong warm front surging northward during the afternoon ahead of a surface low in SE South Dakota. Temps forecast to warm into the 80s south of this boundary while temps should remain in the 50s just north of it.
A dry punch is then forecast to race NE towards the Twin Cities by early evening. I'm not totally sold on this feature yet since eta has been inconsistent in whether or not it will occur. Of course, its still 48+ hours out so thats not surprising. If this feature varifies, I believe there will be an enhanced risk of strong tornadoes along and just of this feature in addition to along the warm front.
At any rate, its becoming increasingly clear to me that an intense warm front will be setting up across southern/central MN. Wind fields look VERY supportive for long-lived supercells. This set-up is reminding me of 3/29/98....(was on a sunday too)which is a little chilling. I have to keep reminding myself its still 2 days out...ALOT can still change.
All I know is that I'm getting my gear ready as Sunday gets closer.
A literal interpretation of eta depicts a scary picture across SW into East-Central MN: a strong warm front surging northward during the afternoon ahead of a surface low in SE South Dakota. Temps forecast to warm into the 80s south of this boundary while temps should remain in the 50s just north of it.
A dry punch is then forecast to race NE towards the Twin Cities by early evening. I'm not totally sold on this feature yet since eta has been inconsistent in whether or not it will occur. Of course, its still 48+ hours out so thats not surprising. If this feature varifies, I believe there will be an enhanced risk of strong tornadoes along and just of this feature in addition to along the warm front.
At any rate, its becoming increasingly clear to me that an intense warm front will be setting up across southern/central MN. Wind fields look VERY supportive for long-lived supercells. This set-up is reminding me of 3/29/98....(was on a sunday too)which is a little chilling. I have to keep reminding myself its still 2 days out...ALOT can still change.
All I know is that I'm getting my gear ready as Sunday gets closer.
I want MY severe storms too ya know! 