SouthEast Severe 4-12-04

[Brett Adair]

Tornado Watch up for SC/E GA, Severe Thunderstorm Watch up for East AL/West GA. Looks like things are going to get rockin here with unstable air in place.

[Josephine96]

But no watches in Florida right now..?

[Rainband]

Tornado Watch up for SC/E GA, Severe Thunderstorm Watch up for East AL/West GA. Looks like things are going to get rockin here with unstable air in place.

Good Job with that forecast Brett

[Rainband]

But no watches in Florida right now..?

The probability of severe weather in Florida is isolated at best john

[Brett Adair]

Tornado Watch up for SC/E GA, Severe Thunderstorm Watch up for East AL/West GA. Looks like things are going to get rockin here with unstable air in place.

Good Job with that forecast Brett

Thanks Jonathan. Looks like our cells are hitting the LCL and coming back down.....hence STRONG CAP. Maybe we can get these things to puncture it and then we will get rockin and rollin' around here. Hoping to get a chase in today.

[Rainband]

Tornado Watch up for SC/E GA, Severe Thunderstorm Watch up for East AL/West GA. Looks like things are going to get rockin here with unstable air in place.

Good Job with that forecast Brett

Thanks Jonathan. Looks like our cells are hitting the LCL and coming back down.....hence STRONG CAP. Maybe we can get these things to puncture it and then we will get rockin and rollin' around here. Hoping to get a chase in today.

I guess we never destabalized from our previous round of convection.It's been cloudy all day. The stuff in the GOM looks like it weakens as it gets closer. Have fun and be safe on your chase.

[Rainband]

Nice cells starting to pop.

[Josephine96]

We actually had a good 5-6 hours of sunshine after our AM storms

[Brett Adair]

Yup....EOX and MMX are going to get a good bit of action today as well as FFC. Most of this looks to be passing to my ESE. I think I may just head to GA (around Macon) to chase this evening since that's where the rockin and a rollin' is going to take place. Secondary impulse is set to come across this evening though and I think west Alabama could get rocked as the upper level jet max comes across. Worth watching...

[Rainband]

We actually had a good 5-6 hours of sunshine after our AM storms

John you prob have the best chance of seeing some storms due to the heating. I think the west coast may see some rain but not much more.

[Rainband]

BTW Brett Nice Web site

[ColdFront77]

The Ruskin National Weather Service is saying that the thunderstorm activity in the eastern Gulf of Mexico is [continuing to] organize as it moves eastward near 25 mph.

As John mentioned, there has indeed been some sunny breaks across central Florida which is making the air more unstable as dewpoints in the low to mid 60's continue to rise, along with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s to near 80°.

[Rainband]

The Ruskin National Weather Service is saying that the thunderstorm activity in the eastern Gulf of Mexico is continuing to organize as it moves eastward near 25 mph.

As John mentioned, there has indeed been some sunny breaks across central Florida which is making the air more unstable as dewpoints in the low to mid 60's continue to rise, along with temperatures in the mid to upper 70s to near 80°.

Thanks Tom. I appreciate the update. I just looked at several of my radars and the echos are getting more intense

[ColdFront77]

You're welcome, Johnathan.

I am currently listening to the NOAA Weather Radio (Ruskin). The information I posted above is from their "Weather Synopsis for west-central Florida."

[Rainband]

You're welcome, Johnathan.

I am currently listening to the NOAA Weather Radio (Ruskin). The information I posted above is from there "Weather Synopsis for west-central Florida."

I was going to turn my scanner/wx radio on. I am out of batteries and too lazy to find the cord Guess I better get batteries before June 1

[Anonymous]

FL Penisula's action may be coming from the activity >100 miles SSW of Panama City moving NEwrd

[ColdFront77]

I was going to turn my scanner/wx radio on. I am out of batteries and too lazy to find the cord Guess I better get batteries before June 1

I use the NOAA Weather Radio on my police scanner, too. I have a few other weather radios, but have no reason to use them like the scanner.

[Allexpert Mike]

CAP has weakened over most of FL and looks like the only real area under a strong CAP is Central FL,,,,,,,Southern and Northern are on the weak end.

Waiting 15minutes for new data.

[Stormsfury]

Atmosphere is still fairly capped off in South Carolina currently where Tornado Watch #70 exists ... the orbit.nesdis site is down for the time being (where I get some of my skew-t and soundings data).

But as the h5 s/w swings around the base of the broad h5 low, look for things to quickly explode across the region with probably a better likelihood tonight for more widespread coverage of convection (although severe maybe somewhat limited should strong convection form beforehand early this evening.)

Otherwise, visual OBS here at this location indicate quite a bit of wind shear with veering winds with height, and as the cap is broken, I expect storms to rapidly develop across South Carolina, especially the Midlands where the warm front and the best convergence should lie. As of 6:20 pm, there's one lone strong cell just NNE of Camden, SC moving NE and maybe getting ready to approach severe limits.

SF

[Josephine96]

The calm before the storms here.. Some light rain but no real problems with the storms yet.. I'm just waiting to see if we get any warnings as the evening progresses