STORM2K

Could be a VERY happy active day for us here in SE TX and points east. I only have one class today but a chem test tomorrow so I MIGHT have to exercise some sort of discipline and actually STUDY. So heads up Kelly, David, Lyle and the rest of you out there for some severe weather.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
301 AM CDT TUE APR 6 2004

.DISCUSSION...
SQUALL LINE/ELONGATED MCS CONTINUING TO MAKE STEADY EWD PROGRESS THIS MORNING ACROSS THE STATE. IN FACT...THE SRN END OF THE LINE APPEARS TO BE GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HRS. AS PER GFS...THIS MAY BE DUE IN PART TO AN INCOMING JET STREAK... BUT IT HAS BEEN HARD TO LOCATE ON SATELLITE LOOPS. AT ANY RATE... CURRENT ZONES SEEM TO HAVE THINGS WELL COVERED WITH THE HIGH POPS AND THE MENTION OF SVR/HEAVY RAIN FOR TODAY. MODELS CONTINUING TO ADVERTISE THE CONGEALING OF INGREDIENTS TO MAKE FOR AN ACTIVE DAY TODAY AND GIVEN THE CURRENT TRENDS THIS IS HARD TO ARGUE AGAINST.
PROGGED WIND PROFILE...POSSIBILITY OF SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT AOA LRD AND THE NATURE OF THE ONGOING CONVECTION POINTS TO DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY SVR WX THREAT. ALTHOUGH..ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. SEE SPC'S DAY ONE OUTLOOK FOR MORE DETAILS. HOWEVER THERE IS ONE LINGERING CONCERN TO OR NOT TO POST AN FFA. ATTM THE
CONSENSUS WOULD BE NOT TO POST THE FLOOD WATCH AS THE CURRENT AND PROGGED WX PATTERN LOOKS A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE PREVIOUS RUNS HAVE INDICATED.

TSRA SHOULD MOVE OUT OF SE TX THIS EVENING AND WEAK RIDGING SHOULD GIVE US A BRIEF RESPITE (WED/THUR)...AHEAD OF THE NEXT FAST MOVING UPPER TROF COMING IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLING IN/NEAR THE CWA COMBINED WITH ENERGY SLIDING ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL JET WILL BRING CAUSE FOR SLIGHTLY INCREASED POPS (THAN THE CURRENT GRIDS WOULD INDICATE) FOR THE PERIOD FRI THROUGH SUN. BUILDING SFC
RIDGE AND NWLY FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED TO HELP DRY (AND POSSIBLY COOL) THINGS FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...FECKLESS MODEL PERFORMANCE OF LATE WOULD INFER THAT SOME HUGE CHUNKS OF SALT MAY NEED TO BE BANDIED ABOUT CONCERNING THE EXTENDED PORTIONS OF THIS FORECAST.


Oh, and if you see some blonde in a red and gray F150 driving around like a maniac, then obviously I'm NOT studying and being a nut instead. Besides, husband has gone hunting for four days-you expect me to behave?

Sing it with me ya'll-

COME ON BABY, LET'S DO THE TWIST(ER)!!!!

If it gets wild enough and especially if we are activated look for blue over Gold Montero chasing you!!!!!

All joking aside, I hope things do not get as wild as they appear to have the chance too. We need plenty of rain but nothing destructive!!

You all have had plenty of rain and your fair share of active weather lately. You sure don't need any more!! :o

Suzi Q wrote:Could be a VERY happy active day for us here in SE TX and points east. I only have one class today but a chem test tomorrow so I MIGHT have to exercise some sort of discipline and actually STUDY. So heads up Kelly, David, Lyle and the rest of you out there for some severe weather.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
301 AM CDT TUE APR 6 2004

.DISCUSSION...
SQUALL LINE/ELONGATED MCS CONTINUING TO MAKE STEADY EWD PROGRESS THIS MORNING ACROSS THE STATE. IN FACT...THE SRN END OF THE LINE APPEARS TO BE GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE LAST COUPLE OF HRS. AS PER GFS...THIS MAY BE DUE IN PART TO AN INCOMING JET STREAK... BUT IT HAS BEEN HARD TO LOCATE ON SATELLITE LOOPS. AT ANY RATE... CURRENT ZONES SEEM TO HAVE THINGS WELL COVERED WITH THE HIGH POPS AND THE MENTION OF SVR/HEAVY RAIN FOR TODAY. MODELS CONTINUING TO ADVERTISE THE CONGEALING OF INGREDIENTS TO MAKE FOR AN ACTIVE DAY TODAY AND GIVEN THE CURRENT TRENDS THIS IS HARD TO ARGUE AGAINST.
PROGGED WIND PROFILE...POSSIBILITY OF SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT AOA LRD AND THE NATURE OF THE ONGOING CONVECTION POINTS TO DAMAGING WINDS THE PRIMARY SVR WX THREAT. ALTHOUGH..ISOLATED TORNADOES CANNOT BE RULED OUT. SEE SPC'S DAY ONE OUTLOOK FOR MORE DETAILS. HOWEVER THERE IS ONE LINGERING CONCERN TO OR NOT TO POST AN FFA. ATTM THE
CONSENSUS WOULD BE NOT TO POST THE FLOOD WATCH AS THE CURRENT AND PROGGED WX PATTERN LOOKS A BIT MORE PROGRESSIVE THAN THE PREVIOUS RUNS HAVE INDICATED.

TSRA SHOULD MOVE OUT OF SE TX THIS EVENING AND WEAK RIDGING SHOULD GIVE US A BRIEF RESPITE (WED/THUR)...AHEAD OF THE NEXT FAST MOVING UPPER TROF COMING IN FROM THE WEST. WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLING IN/NEAR THE CWA COMBINED WITH ENERGY SLIDING ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL JET WILL BRING CAUSE FOR SLIGHTLY INCREASED POPS (THAN THE CURRENT GRIDS WOULD INDICATE) FOR THE PERIOD FRI THROUGH SUN. BUILDING SFC
RIDGE AND NWLY FLOW ALOFT EXPECTED TO HELP DRY (AND POSSIBLY COOL) THINGS FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK. HOWEVER...FECKLESS MODEL PERFORMANCE OF LATE WOULD INFER THAT SOME HUGE CHUNKS OF SALT MAY NEED TO BE BANDIED ABOUT CONCERNING THE EXTENDED PORTIONS OF THIS FORECAST.


Oh, and if you see some blonde in a red and gray F150 driving around like a maniac, then obviously I'm NOT studying and being a nut instead. Besides, husband has gone hunting for four days-you expect me to behave?

Sing it with me ya'll-

COME ON BABY, LET'S DO THE TWIST(ER)!!!!

It's already looking active with a tornado watch along the TX coastal bend this morning!!!! Definitely something to watch as the day progresses and conditions favor isolated tornadoes with severe thunderstorms potentially.

Jim

I have a Paltalk room open on this outlook. I may or may not be at the computer the whole time, but feel free to chat about it live. My sister-in-law lives in Rosharon, TX so I am keeping a close eye. The Paltalk room is in Miscellaneous and it's labeled Texas Severe Weather. The client is available at:

http://www.paltalk.com/

Sorry But I am having some computer problems. Won't be able to have that room up. Sorry

michaelwmoss wrote:Sorry But I am having some computer problems. Won't be able to have that room up. Sorry

Unsure if your aware but we do have a chatroom for this site!
Top right hand side for storm2k chatroom. If you have MIrc then its server is stormdancing and the room is storm2k.