STORM2K

589
ACUS11 KWNS 041902
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041902
OKZ000-TXZ000-042030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0166
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0102 PM CST THU MAR 04 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NORTHWEST TEXAS...SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 22...

VALID 041902Z - 042030Z

...DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION FROM NORTHWEST TEXAS NEWD INTO
SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA...

WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE AND TORNADOES ARE LIKELY ACROSS NORTHWEST
TEXAS DURING THE NEXT HOUR...AND WILL SHIFT RAPIDLY INTO SOUTHWEST
AND CENTAL OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO REACH THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA AROUND 300 PM.

AT 18Z SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES WEST OF SPS AND WAS
HEADING NEWD AT 65 KT. A WARM FRONT EXTENDS FROM THE SURFACE LOW
NEWD TO THE OKLAHOMA CITY METRO AREA AND NEWD TO NEAR TULSA. A LINE
OF SUPERCELLS IS ACCOMPANYING THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND
ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE
AND TORNADOES WITH THESE STORMS. THE MOST INTENSE STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED CLOSE TO THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF STRONG TORNADOES AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 MPH.
SOUTH OF THE LOW...A LINE OF SUPERCELLS IS MOVING ENEWD AT 60 KT
THROUGH NORTHWEST TEXAS WITH TORNADOES AND WIND DAMAGE ALSO LIKELY.

..IMY.. 03/04/2004

PLEASE SEE http://WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

32389906 33039947 34169968 35419839 35759736 34869728
33119753

OH, NO!!! Oklahoma City...

yep...I thought the same thing!

625
ACUS11 KWNS 041925
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 041925
MOZ000-ARZ000-OKZ000-KSZ000-TXZ000-042030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0167
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0125 PM CST THU MAR 04 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK...WRN AR...SWRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 041925Z - 042030Z

...TORNADO WATCH WILL BE ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR FROM CENTRAL OK
INTO SERN KS/SWRN MO/WRN AR...

DEEPENING SFC LOW WILL TRACK NEWD ALONG RETREATING WARM FRONT ACROSS
CENTRAL OK INTO SERN KS BY EARLY EVENING. THIS FEATURE SHOULD
CONTINUE TO DEEPEN AS SPEED MAX ALOFT INCREASES IN EXCESS OF 100KT
ACROSS SERN OK. LEWP HAS EVOLVED ALONG SURGING FRONTAL ZONE WITH
EMBEDDED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS. BOWING LINE SEGMENTS ARE ALSO
GENERATING VERY STRONG WINDS...IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. LONG TRACK
TORNADIC SUPERCELLS MAY SPREAD INTO ERN OK SHORTLY AFTER 21Z.

..DARROW.. 03/04/2004

PLEASE SEE http://WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LZK...SGF...SHV...EAX...TSA...TOP...ICT...FWD...OUN...

36129724 38319495 37849346 35219298 33229650

Thanks for the heads up.

Look at the dry slot... that is gonna send instability through the roof.