STORM2K

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 2:37 pm**

Sorry about my abbreviations!

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0248
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1158 AM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AL / FL PNHDL / SWRN GA

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 141758Z - 142000Z

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.
HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT AND A WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

LATEST MESOANALYSIS SHOWS A WEAK SURFACE LOW S OF MOB BAY WITH AN
ATTENDANT WARM FRONT/DIFFERENTIAL HEATING ZONE EXTENDING FROM N
OF PNS TO MAI TO N OF JAX. LATEST VISIBLE SATELLITE DATA SHOW
CUMULUS FIELD DEVELOPING NE OF SURFACE LOW OVER THE WRN FL PNHDL
INTO SRN AL. ALTHOUGH DEWPOINTS ARE CURRENTLY ONLY IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOWER 60S...STRONG INSOLATION AND STEEP-MID LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AHEAD OF MID-LEVEL LOW OVER SRN MS HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS WITH MLCAPES APPROACHING 1000-1500
J/KG.

CONTINUED DAYTIME HEATING IN COMBINATION WITH INCREASING FORCING
FOR LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF MID-LEVEL LOW...SHOULD ALLOW
TSTMS TO DEVELOP WITHIN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. ALTHOUGH
LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL REMAIN RATHER WEAK...STRENGTHENING
FLOW ABOVE 6 KM AGL SHOULD SUPPORT ISOLATED/SCATTERED ORGANIZED
TSTMS. RELATIVELY COOL TEMPERATURES ASSOCIATED WITH MID-LEVEL
CIRCULATION --IE -16 TO -17 C AT 500 MB-- WILL SUPPORT PRIMARILY
A HAIL THREAT. WW MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 2:37 pm**

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:18 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC031-061-142245-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
405 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
COFFEE COUNTY IN ALABAMA
GENEVA COUNTY IN ALABAMA

* UNTIL 445 PM CST

* AT 405 PM CST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL 5 MILES NORTH OF GANER...OR
ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF OPP...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
SAMSON...KINSTON BY 410 PM CST...
ALBERTON BY 415 PM CST...
SELLERSVILLE...INO BY 420 PM CST...
FAIRVIEW BY 425 PM CST...
GOODMAN...COFFEE SPRINGS BY 430 PM CST...
CENTRAL CITY...CHANCELLOR BY 440 PM CST...

THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS LARGE HAIL...WITH BRIEF
TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS AND GUSTY WINDS ALSO POSSIBLE.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:21 pm**

Looks like Dale County in Alabama will be next to get the Warning...stay tuned....nasty looking cell too!

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:30 pm**

The peninsular is looking pretty dry at the moment. We are surposed to get some rain and embedded storms tonight. I dont think we will be infor any fireworks though.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:31 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
FLC033-113-142300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
415 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA
SANTA ROSA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA

* UNTIL 500 PM CST

* AT 415 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF BARTH...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
BRATT BY 420 PM CST
MCDAVID BY 430 PM CST
CHUMUCKLA BY 435 PM CST
CENTURY BY 450 PM CST

STRONG DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH
THIS STORM. IF IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IN A STURDY
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:32 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC053-142300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
415 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA

* UNTIL 500 PM CST

* AT 415 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF WAWBEEK...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 30 MPH. MARBLE SIZE HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
OSAKA BY 425 PM CST
FOSHEE BY 430 PM CST
WALLACE BY 440 PM CST
APPLETON BY 450 PM CST

STRONG DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH
THIS STORM. IF IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IN A STURDY
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:32 pm**

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:42 pm**

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:44 pm**

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 46
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
405 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 405 PM UNTIL 900
PM CST.

HAIL TO 1 1/2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 60
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 65 STATUTE MILES
NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES WEST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA
TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF DOTHAN ALABAMA.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.

DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING ALONG A WEAK
NE-SW ORIENTED SURFACE BOUNDARY ACROSS SE AL. SURFACE TEMPERATURES
IN THE MID 70S WITH NEAR 60 DEW POINTS ARE SUPPORTING MLCAPE VALUES
NEAR 1500 J/KG...DESPITE THE CLOUD COVER OVERSPREADING THE AREA
FROM THE GULF CONVECTION. COOL MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND THE
MODERATE INSTABILITY WITH SUPPORT A FEW STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND
STRONG OUTFLOW GUSTS FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1 1/2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 50
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26020.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:45 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC039-142300-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
435 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
COVINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA

* UNTIL 500 PM CST

* AT 435 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF OPP...MOVING NORTH AT 15
MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
EODA BY 440 PM CST

STRONG DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH
THIS STORM. IF IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IN A STURDY
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 5:54 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
GAC131-142315-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
543 PM EST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EASTERN GRADY COUNTY IN GEORGIA

* UNTIL 615 PM EST

* AT 543 PM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PINE
PARK...OR ABOUT 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CAIRO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
GRADY CO A/P BY 550 PM EST...
PINE PARK...AKRIDGE BY 555 PM EST...
SPENCE BY 610 PM EST...

THE MAIN THREAT FROM THIS STORM IS LARGE HAIL.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 6:11 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC035-053-150000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
459 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
CONECUH COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA

* UNTIL 600 PM CST

* AT 459 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR WALLACE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
I65 AND AL 41 BY 505 PM CST
RANGE...APPLETON BY 510 PM CST
LENOX BY 515 PM CST
I65 AND CR 6 BY 520 PM CST

STRONG DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH
THIS STORM. IF IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IN A STURDY
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 6:16 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC119-142345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
506 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BIRMINGHAM HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SUMTER COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA

* UNTIL 545 PM CST

* AT 505 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR CUBA...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE...EMELLE...
LIVINGSTON AND YORK.

LARGE HAIL IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM...MOVE INSIDE...AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 6:18 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC031-142345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ISSUED BY NWS JACKSONVILLE FL
500 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN COFFEE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

* UNTIL 545 PM CST

* AT 501 PM CST LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL OVER ENTERPRISE MUNI A/P...OR ABOUT 4
MILES WEST OF ENTERPRISE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
ENTERPRISE AT 500 PM CST...
CLINTONVILLE AT 505 PM CST AND
TABERNACLE AT 515 PM CST.

VERY LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. IF YOU ARE
IN THE PATH OF THE STORM...PUT YOUR CAR IN A GARAGE. NICKEL SIZED
HAIL HAS BEEN REPORTED WITH THIS STORM.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 6:20 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
MSC075-150015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
513 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
LAUDERDALE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

* UNTIL 615 PM CST

* AT 513 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MERIDIAN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL...
BE NEAR MARION AT 520 PM CST
BE NEAR TOOMSUBA AT 535 PM CST
BE NEAR MERIDIAN STATION AT 540 PM CST

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF DIMES IS LIKELY WITH THIS STORM.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 6:21 pm**

MSC067-142355-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
511 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
JONES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI

* UNTIL 555 PM CST

* AT 511 PM CST...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
PRODUCING THREE QUARTER INCH HAIL OVER SANDERSVILLE...OR ABOUT
10 MILES NORTHEAST OF LAUREL...MOVING EAST AT 5 MPH.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 6:32 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC023-150000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
528 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CHOCTAW COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA

* UNTIL 600 PM CST

* AT 528 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER ROCK SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
RIDERWOOD...PUSHMATAHA BY 535 PM CST
LISMAN...BUTLER BY 540 PM CST
CROMWELL BY 550 PM CST
JACHIN BY 555 PM CST

STRONG DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH
THIS STORM. IF IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IN A STURDY
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 6:32 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC041-150000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
523 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CRENSHAW COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA

* UNTIL 600 PM CST

* AT 523 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER BRANTLEY...MOVING NORTH AT 25 MPH.
LARGE HAIL IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
GLENWOOD BY 535 PM CST
LUVERNE...RUTLEDGE BY 540 PM CST
PATSBURG...LIVE OAK BY 550 PM CST
PETREY BY 555 PM CST

STRONG DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE LIKELY WITH
THIS STORM. IF IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IN A STURDY
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

Posted: **Fri Mar 14, 2003 6:47 pm**

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC045-150030-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ISSUED BY NWS JACKSONVILLE FL
529 PM CST FRI MAR 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
DALE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ALABAMA

* UNTIL 630 PM CST

* AT 529 PM CST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL 2 MILES WEST OF HOLIDAY
VILLAGE...OR ABOUT 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF ENTERPRISE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
KELLY AT 530 PM CST...
PLEASANT HILL AT 535 PM CST...
WATERFORD AT 540 PM CST AND
BLACKWELL FIELD A/P AT 545 PM CST.

EARLIER COFFEE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED NICKEL SIZED
HAIL WITH THIS STORM AND THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING
SEVERE WEATHER.

STORM2K

ALAGAFLA (AL/GA/FL) Hail threat today

ALAGAFLA (AL/GA/FL) Hail threat today