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ALABAMA, GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA NEXT FOR SEVERE WEATHER

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 10:39 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
ALC099-131545-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING...CORRECTED HEADER INFORMATION...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
925 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MONROE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA

* UNTIL 945 AM CST

* AT 922 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF HOMEWOOD...MOVING EAST AT
45 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
MANISTEE...MEGARGEL BY 925 AM CST
FRISCO CITY...MEXIA BY 930 AM CST
EXCEL...WEST MONROEVILLE BY 935 AM CST
DREWRY...MONROEVILLE BY 940 AM CST

STRONG DAMAGING WIND AND ESPECIALLY LARGE HAIL ARE LIKELY WITH THIS
STORM. IF IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IN A STURDY
SHELTER UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.


Image

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 10:40 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
GAC025-229-131615-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1029 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
BRANTLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA
PIERCE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 1115 AM EST

* AT 1029 AM EST EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
BLACKSHEAR...OR ABOUT 2 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WAYCROSS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORM THROUGH 1115 AM EST...
BLACKSHEAR...
HOBOKEN...
PATTERSON...
NAHUNTA...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. REMEMBER...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING. LARGE TREES HAVE BEEN TOPPLED BY THIS STORM.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 10:42 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
Image

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
GAC299-131600-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1014 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN WARE COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 1100 AM EST

* AT 1014 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ALONG A
LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTH OF ARGYLE TO 11 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF ARGYLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORMS THROUGH 1100 AM EST...
WARESBORO AND NEEDHAM...
DIXIE UNION AND WAYCROSS...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. REMEMBER...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:13 am
by wx247
Image

Here is a local radar out of Charleston, SC.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:13 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
Image
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0236
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0939 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003

AREAS AFFECTED...AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL

VALID 131539Z - 131745Z

THE POTENTIAL FOR A DAMAGING WIND EVENT WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE
MORNING. WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED.

PARTIAL SUNSHINE WILL ALLOW FOR CONTINUED AIRMASS DESTABILIZATION
OVER AL THIS MORNING AHEAD OF STRONG/SVR SQUALL LINE IN PROGRESS
OVER WRN MS. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR CNTRL/SRN AL FOR LATE
THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON INDICATE MLCAPES INCREASING TO
1000-2000 J/KG WITH UNIDIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILES. TSTM ACTIVITY
OVER MS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN AS FORCING FOR LARGE SCALE
ASCENT SPREADS ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF SHORTWAVE TROUGH
EXTENDING FROM THE MID MS VALLEY INTO ERN TX.

ALTHOUGH DEEP-LAYER SHEAR WILL NOT BE PARTICULARLY
STRONG...HIGHER TEMPERATURE/DEWPOINT SPREADS AT THE SURFACE
SHOULD ENHANCE COLD POOL GENERATION. THUS IT APPEARS THAT THE
PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS WITH SEVERE HAIL ALSO
POSSIBLE.

A WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:18 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
GAC049-131630-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1056 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
CHARLTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA

* UNTIL 1130 AM EST

* AT 1056 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS 18 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF HOMELAND...OR ABOUT 36 MILES SOUTH OF WAYCROSS...
MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
FOLKSTON AT 1115 AM EST.

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. REMEMBER...
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE
WARNING.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:31 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 41
AFWA-OFFUTT AFB IN SPC BACKUP CAPACITY-OMAHA NEB
1110 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

AFWA-OFFUTT AFB-OMAHA NEB AS THE SPC BACKUP HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

ALABAMA
WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE
EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI

EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 1110 AM UNTIL
500 PM EST.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 80
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 90 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 80 MILES SOUTHEAST OF LAUREL
MISSISSIPPI TO 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF GADSDEN ALABAMA.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA.
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.


DISCUSSION...LINE OF CONVECTION IN MS WILL MOVE EWD AT 50 KTS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY AND SOME HAIL. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP ALONG
WARM FRONT ACROSS SRN AL WITH THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL.


AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 70
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27050.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:32 am
by Stormsfury
WX247, you found my local news station Channel 5 WCSC here in CHS!!!.
That building is only 3 miles from where I work!.

Incidentally, where the Summerville area (dot), I'm located just south of that by only a couple of miles.

Some cells developing in extreme E GA moving into SC now. A possible rocky afternoon for my area in about 3-5 hours.
Image

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:33 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
Bigtime bow echoes

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:36 am
by Stormsfury
Check the loop out. Looks like an MCS to me.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p ... kclx.shtml

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:37 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
Not only that...seems like you'd see a signature tornado on that outflow, but its racing at a good clip!

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:40 am
by Stormsfury
Rob-TheStormChaser wrote:Not only that...seems like you'd see a signature tornado on that outflow, but its racing at a good clip!


Thankfully, offshore in about 30 minutes!

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:44 am
by Stormsfury
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1126 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
MCINTOSH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST GEORGIA...

* UNTIL 1215 PM EST

* AT 1124 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60
MPH 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COX...OR ABOUT 11 MILES WEST OF DARIEN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...
COX...
DARIEN AND TOWNSEND...
CARNIGAN AND RIDGEVILLE...
VALONA AND MERIDIAN...
SHELLMAN BLUFF...

A TORNADO WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCED WARNING. REMAIN ALERT FOR
RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND BE READY TO ACT QUICKLY.

LAT...LON 3142 8174 3126 8165 3135 8130 3146 8122
3163 8125 3160 8150

$$

24

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:48 am
by wx247
Cool Stormsfury!

Yes...some strong winds in there.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:53 am
by Stormsfury
Jacksonville, Florida about to get pounded ...

Take heed, HG!!!

Image

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:56 am
by Rob-TheStormChaser
lol yeah its draping SE so it'll hang a little longer farther south....just what they need...more water!

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 11:58 am
by Stormsfury
Look at the composite radar reflectivity ... that baby just WEST of JAX just developed and I KNOW that's producing some hail!...Look at how deep the purple shows! 65-75 DBZ

Image

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 12:00 pm
by Rob-TheStormChaser
Yeah the reflectivity within a few of those must have alot of frozen garbage within...hopefully no rotation before the coastline.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 12:02 pm
by wx247
Yeah...definite hail. I was also looking back into Alabama. Looks like some wind potential there this afternoon.

Posted: Thu Mar 13, 2003 12:04 pm
by ColdFront77
Interesting situation just to my north/quite a bit more to my north until this evening. I have been in Melbourne, Florida the last several days. :)


Here is the forecast out of the Jacksonville, Florida National Weather Service office for Marion county:

Today. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and thunderstorms through early afternoon. Then isolated showers and thunderstorms. Some storms may be strong with gusty winds and periods of heavy rain. Highs near 80. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

Tonight. Partly cloudy. Patchy fog developing. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

Friday. Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms from late morning on. Highs near 80. Variable winds 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Friday night. Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 30 percent.

Saturday. Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 70s. Chance of rain 40 percent.