Southern California Weather Threat for Feb 2-3, 2004..

[Rockstock]

Saw the potential for REALLY BAD weather and the models are consistant on 6 runs of this. showing a whopping -30 degrees Celsius Temps at 500MB!! decided to for the first time put a site up just for ONE event. this one.

http://www.powow.com/orbiteradds/storm.html

[weatherlover427]

They have just cranked up the QPF's from the storm to 1-2" in the coastal areas to 2-4" inland and up to a foot anf a haf of snow is now possible in the mountains. The thunderstorms with hail and waterspouts are stll in the cards.

[weatherlover427]

WEAK OFFSHORE FLOW GONE BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS FLOW BEGINS TO TURN AROUND TO THE SOUTH AS TROUGH DIGS OFF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST. THIS STORM LOOKS QUITE STRONG AS CURRENTLY PORTRAYED IN THE MODELS. IT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA MON NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. RAIN MAY BEGIN BY MON AFTERNOON IN THE NORTH PART BUT TIMING IS STILL IN DOUBT. THE UPWARD VERTICAL VELOCITIES ARE VERY IMPRESSIVE WITH A LARGE BULLS EYE OVER FAR SOCAL BY 6Z MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER BULLS EYE MOVES THRU TUE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. WITH SUCH STRONG OMEGAS... THE PROXIMITY OF VORT MAX AND COLD AIR ALOFT...THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY. ALSO WATERSPOUTS HAVE A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF OCCURRING. A STRONG SOUTH FLOW WILL GIVE GOOD UPSLOPE FOR HIGHER LOCAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS. LOCAL FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN. WILL GO FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS TO 2 TO 4 INCHES IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH UP TO ONE AND ONE HALF FEET OF SNOW IN THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS. MODELS HAVE HELD ONTO THIS SYSTEM AND 12Z AVN RUN SHOWS A STRONGER BULLS EYE OF OMEGAS AND HIGHER QPF THAN PREVIOUS RUN. ALSO ECMWF ALMOST EXACTLY THE SAME WITH THE SYSTEM AND HAS THE SAME 500 MB LOW AT 539 ON TUE 12Z.