Is this a repeat of November?

[Suzi Q]

Found the following on the Skywarn site this morning. Isn't this the same set-up that caused our tornado outbreak in November? Current thinking severe potential will be to the east of us. Comments please.

ABUNDANT MOISTURE (BUOY 42019 HAS A 67 DEGREE DEWPOINT) IS
POISED TO SURGE INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT. THIS HIGH MOISTURE LEVEL (PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN A 1.50 TO 1.75 INCH RANGE) IN COMBINATION WITH STRONG DIVERGENCE ALOFT IN A SPLITTING UPPER LEVEL JET PATTERN...A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET (850 MB WINDS APPROACHING 50 KNOTS)...AND THE ENERGY FROM THE UPPER LOW WILL LEAD TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR NOW...WILL GO WITH WIDESPREAD 1 TO 2 INCH TOTALS WITH ISOLATED 3 TO 5 INCH AMOUNTS.

[Guest]

If it is Eb - we are talking a very wet January here in Eastern part of Houston. We are already saturated and any more will just take us that much longer to dry out - if we ever do.

Let's hope this 3-5 inches does not verify.

Patricia

[Suzi Q]

Ticka, here's the latest hazardous weather statement for us:

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THE HEAVIEST RAINS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY MOVE OFF TO THE EAST BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND 6 AM TOMORROW MORNING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO AVERAGE 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH
ISOLATED 3 TO 5 INCH TOTALS POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS OR WHERE TRAINING DEVELOPS. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE ISSUED LATER THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OFF TO THE EAST EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP SATURDAY AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES THROUGH SOUTHEAST TEXAS. SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BECOME STRONG OR SEVERE. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FROM SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS
EVENING.

Too bad we don't have our certification yet!

[Guest]

I know. Oh well at least I'm sitting at home and can watch the radar at my leisure...I'm not brave enough to chase by myself. But I'll get the digital camera ready for flood pictures LOL.

Patricia

[Suzi Q]

For those of us in SE Texas, check out your long range radar out of Laredo....IT'S COMING!!!!!

[Guest]

OH NO..............got to get the camera's ready LOL

[Suzi Q]

More like make sure your streets are free of as much debris as possible and get the CANOE ready!