Parts of NC in line for more icing concerns.

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Stormsfury
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Parts of NC in line for more icing concerns.

#1 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Feb 26, 2003 12:56 pm

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#2 Postby HeartofNC » Wed Feb 26, 2003 6:35 pm

Thanks!

HeartofNC
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#3 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Feb 26, 2003 9:17 pm

NOWCAST - 9 pm

NCZ001-053-055-056-065-067-270300-
WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
ASHEVILLE CLOUDY 34 33 96 S9 30.04R FOG WCI 27
JEFFERSON FOG 30 30 100 CALM 30.00F VSB 1/2
MORGANTON CLOUDY 30 30 100 E5 30.10R FOG WCI 25
HICKORY FRZ RAIN 31 30 96 MISG 30.10F
RUTHERFORDTON DRIZZLE 36 34 93 CALM 30.11R
MOUNT AIRY NOT AVBL
$$

NCZ021-022-025-041-071-084-088-270300-
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
CHARLOTTE LGT RAIN 33 33 100 NE9 30.12F FOG WCI 25
GREENSBORO FRZ RAIN 31 30 96 NE7 30.16S WCI 24
WINSTON-SALEM FRZ RAIN 30 30 100 NE7 30.15F FOG WCI 23
RALEIGH-DURHAM FRZ RAIN 32 31 96 N7 30.18R WCI 26
FORT BRAGG LGT RAIN 36 36 100 VRB5 30.15R FOG WCI 32
FAYETTEVILLE LGT RAIN 36 35 96 NE6 30.15R FOG WCI 31
$$

NCZ011-015-027-028-043-044-047-080-103-270300-
NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
ROANOKE RAPIDS MIX PCPN 32 30 92 N9 30.19R WCI 24
ROCKY MT-WILSO MIX PCPN 32 32 100 N10 30.16S WCI 24
WASHINGTON LGT RAIN 39 37 93 N3 30.16R
ELIZABETH CITY LGT RAIN 40 39 97 NE10 30.16R WCI 33
MANTEO NOT AVBL
CAPE HATTERAS CLOUDY 46 45 96 N12G21 30.09S FOG
$$

NCZ078-087-090-091-093-098-101-270300-
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
LUMBERTON LGT RAIN 38 32 79 N9 30.13S WCI 31
GOLDSBORO LGT RAIN 36 34 93 N7 30.16S FOG WCI 30
KINSTON LGT RAIN 36 34 93 N7 30.16S WCI 30
KENANSVILLE LGT RAIN 39 37 93 N6 30.16R WCI 35
NEW BERN LGT RAIN 40 39 97 N8 30.14F WCI 34
CHERRY POINT LGT RAIN 42 42 100 N12 30.12F FOG
BEAUFORT LGT RAIN 43 42 97 N9 30.12S
WILMINGTON LGT RAIN 41 40 96 N8 30.12R FOG
$$

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#4 Postby Stormsfury » Wed Feb 26, 2003 10:34 pm

Interesting discussions from CHS and GSP tonight.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
835 PM EST WED FEB 26 2003

PUBLIC...
ANOTHER CLASSIC DUAL BETWEEN A WELL ESTABLISHED SFC WEDGE AND LOW
PRES NOSING EWD INTO SRN ALABAMA HEADED TOWARD SRN GEORGIA EARLY
THU. WITH THE WEDGE CURRENTLY S OF JACKSONVILLE THIS EVENING...THE
SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS SHOWING SIGNS THAT IT WILL BE HARD TO BUDGE THU
AND LOW PRES IS LIKELY TO REDEVELOP ALONG THE COASTAL TROF OFF THE
COAST WHICH IS WHAT BOTH THE 18Z GFS AND ETA SHOW HAPPENING. THE
DIFFICULT PART OF OUR FCST IS HOW FAR N CAN THE WARM FRONT GET
BEFORE LOW SCOOTS ENE OF THE REGION THU AFTN. MODEL CONSENSUS HAS
IT REACHING SAVANNAH.

FOR THE UPDATE...WILL REMOVE EVENING WORDING AND GO WITH CATEGORICAL
POPS OVERNIGHT. WILL LIKELY GO WITH STEADY TEMPERATURES FOR THE MOST
PART. MINOR ADJUSTMENTS TO WINDS. WITH DYNAMICS AND IMPRESSIVE
PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL CONNECTION SEEN ON WATER IMAGERY IMAGERY...
EXPECTING SOME 1.0 TO 1.5 INCH QPF TOTALS. WILL ADD MENTION OF RAIN
HEAVY AT TIMES LATE TONIGHT ALL ZONES.

MARINE...
PREFER THE LATEST RUC AND 18Z ETA SOLUTIONS THRU EARLY THU. WILL
SLOW DOWN WSHFT TO SW OVER THE GEORGIA WATERS UNTIL MID MORNING THU
AND KEEP FLAGS STATUS QUO NOW THAT A SCA IS UP FOR THE NEAR SHORE
GEORGIA WATERS. LATEST REPORT FROM THE CHARLESTON PILOT BOAT HAD
SEAS 6 FT AT BUOY 6. MOST OTHER CHANGES ON THE UPDATE WILL BE FOR
INITIAL CONDITIONS.

.CHS...
GA...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ354-374.
SC...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AMZ350-352.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1003 PM EST WED FEB 26 2003

IN SHORT...WILL LEAVE WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES AS IS.

PRECIPITATION HAS BECOME SPOTTY AS FIRST SHORT WAVE AND AREA OF
ISENTROPIC LIFT MOVE EAST. HOWEVER EXPECT PATCHY RAIN AND
DRIZZLE...WITH THE FREEZING VARIETY WHERE TEMPS ALLOW...UNTIL NEXT
SHORT WAVE AND AREA OF ISENTROPIC LIFT MOVE IN ABOUT 09Z. ICE
ACCUMULATIONS OCCURRING ACROSS I-40 CORRIDOR OUTSIDE OF MTNS. OVER
1/4 INCH ALREADY IN DAVIE COUNTY. TEMPS WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING
SO ANY ADDITIONAL PRECIP WILL FREEZE. TEMPS AND WET BULBS HAVE
FALLEN LOWER THAN FCST AND EXPECT LITTLE MOVEMENT OVERNIGHT.
TEMPS/WET BULBS CLOSE ENOUGH TO FREEZING IN ADVISORY COUNTIES TO
CONTINUE AS ANY MOVEMENT LOWER WILL RESULT IN ICING...BUT STILL DO
NOT EXPECT WARNING LEVEL ACCUMULATIONS IN THESE AREAS.

HAD TO LOWER TONIGHTS LOWS TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT TEMPS.
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#5 Postby JQ Public » Thu Feb 27, 2003 12:57 am

not bad here atall! Good thing. maybe things will get worse to our west as the next blob o' moisture comes along? Greensboro alreayd has .25" accumulation of ice.
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#6 Postby HeartofNC » Thu Feb 27, 2003 10:36 am

Only had ice on the windshield of the truck, not the car. truck is parked under a tree. Icy conditions on bridges and overpasses of course caused traffic accidents. Radio station has been flakey this morning, folks up north (Durham, etc.) have much more ice than we do. Kid was cranky cause he had to go to school - HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA - I TOLD him he'd have to go..
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#7 Postby Suncat » Thu Feb 27, 2003 11:42 am

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1025 AM EST THU FEB 27 2003

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY THIS AFTERNOON...

.SURFACE TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING CONTINUE TO RANGE AROUND 32
DEGREES... FROM PITTSBORO TO JORDAN LAKE... RALEIGH... LOUISBURG
AND WARRENTON. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF
COAST STATES AND WAS BRINGING A VERY MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW ATOP THE
COLD AIR AT THE SURFACE. THIS HAS PRODUCED WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN.
FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON... THEN
BECOME MOSTLY RAIN BY MID AFTERNOON... BEFORE TAPERING TO LIGHT
DRIZZLE. THE TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY RISE TO 33 TO 34 DEGREES BY
300 PM.

NCZ010-026-040-041-272100-
CHATHAM NC-FRANKLIN NC-WAKE NC-WARREN NC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CARY...LOUISBURG...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...
SILER CITY AND WARRENTON
1025 AM EST THU FEB 27 2003

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON..

FREEZING RAIN HAS BEEN ACCUMULATING IN TREES AND ON POWER LINES
ACROSS CHATHAM... WAKE... FRANKLIN... AND WARREN COUNTIES. BETWEEN
ONE EIGHTH TO ONE FOURTH INCH OF FREEZING RAIN HAS ACCUMULATED ON
TREES AND POWER LINES MAINLY ACROSS NORTHERN CHATHAM... WEST AND
NORTH WAKE... FRANKLIN AND WARREN COUNTIES. THERE WERE SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES IN ACCUMULATIONS EVEN ACROSS THE CITY OF RALEIGH... WHERE
AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH OF ICE WAS REPORTED IN NORTH RALEIGH WHILE
LESS THAN ONE EIGHTH INCH WAS REPORTED FROM SOUTH RALEIGH TO
HOLLY SPRINGS. SURFACE TEMPERATURES HAD INCREASE SLOWLY TO AROUND 31
NORTH TO 32 OR 33 SOUTH AND EAST OF RALEIGH.

AREA ROADS AND STREETS ARE WET... WITH ONLY A FEW ICY PATCHES ON
THE BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION
NEAR AND OVER THE BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES. IN ADDITION... MOTORISTS
FROM RALEIGH NORTH AND WEST ARE URGED TO STAY CLEAR OF TREE LINED
STREETS UNTIL MELTING OCCURS. SEVERAL LIMBS OR EVEN TREES MAY COME
DOWN DUE TO THE WEIGHT OF THE ICE.

THE TREND TO MORE RAIN IS EXPECTED AS THE TEMPERATURES RISE FROM 32
TO 33 DEGREES BY EARLY AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN WILL
BECOME MOSTLY RAIN BY 300 TO 400 PM.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
$$

BADGETT




Yikes :o
I live on a tree lined street in Cary!
I just may stay late at work today...at least until the thaw is well under way :D
I work in Raleigh near the Art Museum off Blue Ridge Road. The pine trees are bending over from ice accumulation and we have started a pool here at the office as to when the powerlines will go from a falling tree!
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#8 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Feb 27, 2003 2:26 pm

Parts of NC are now geting Tons of ice. Many power outages :( Could be worse than the dec storm .
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#9 Postby wrkh99 » Thu Feb 27, 2003 2:33 pm

WINTER STORM WARNING
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1130 AM EST THU FEB 27 2003

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ007-009-015-280146-

ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-GRAYSON VA-SMYTH VA-TAZEWELL VA-WATAUGA NC-
INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...TAZEWELL...BLUEFIELD...
SPARTA AND BOONE
1130 AM EST THU FEB 27 2003

...WINTER STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

MIXED SLEET...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE
AFTERNOON ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES ACROSS WESTERN
TAZEWELL... SMYTH...AND GRAYSON COUNTIES AS WELL AS THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS OF NORTH CAROLINA WILL REMAIN VERY CLOSE TO FREEZING WITH
ONLY AREAS OF LIGHT ICING EXPECTED. IN THE EASTERN PARTS OF THESE
COUNTIES TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING WITH ICE
ACCRETIONS OF 1/4 TO 1/2 INCH EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW AND SLEET
ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE EXPECTED.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OR ICE
ACCUMULATION TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE VIA EMAIL AT
RNK.SKYWARN@NOAA.GOV OR AT PHONE NUMBER 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

$$

NOGUEIRA





--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-281130-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1238 PM EST THU FEB 27 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA...
WESTERN AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...AS WELL AS NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY
A WINTER STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE
COUNTY WARNING AREA. WIDESPREAD FREEZING RAIN IS EXPECTED INTO
TONIGHT EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. SEVERE ICING WITH TOTAL ACCRETIONS
UP TO 1 TO 1 1/2 INCHES WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA AND THE
NORTHWESTERN NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT. ICE ACCRETIONS OF 1/4 TO 1/2
OF AN INCH WILL OCCUR FROM THE BLUE RIDGE EASTWARD TOWARD LYNCHBURG.

IN THE MOUNTAINS ICE ACCRETIONS AREA EXPECTED TO BE A QUARTER OF AN
INCH OR LESS. SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS WILL FROM RANGE FROM 1
TO 3 INCHES IN THE NEW RIVER VALLEY...TO UP TO 7 INCHES IN THE
GREENBRIER VALLEY OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER REPORTS OF SNOW AND SLEET AMOUNTS AS WELL AS ICE ACCRETION
ARE WELCOMED.

$$


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
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#10 Postby Stormsfury » Thu Feb 27, 2003 8:52 pm

Looks like my prognostic discussion verified quite well, though I didn't expect the 1" to 1.5" of ice accretions by no means ...

The AVL/CLT/RAH mentioned in my prognostic discussion yesterday looks like it verified correctly.
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#11 Postby JQ Public » Fri Feb 28, 2003 6:09 pm

Yeh it has been extremely bad in the NW piedmont. Probably worse than our storm just in a more rural/localized area.
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#12 Postby Stormsfury » Sun Mar 02, 2003 1:15 am

Yeah, JQ ... Greensboro picking up between an inch to an inch and a half of ice is quite severe, even if it was localized (which I never expected that much, maybe an inch bullseye at best) .... Amazing and dangerous situation that turned out to be.
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